dataphil › Scorecard

Who on the Street has been right?

Name: Sell-side analyst accuracy by firm and by stock
Creator: dataphil
License: https://dataphil.com/

5939 sell-side rating changes across 100 stocks, each priced the day it landed and graded 30, 60 and 90 days later. Top of the board: Susquehanna, 62% right on 104 calls across 36 names. Firm by firm, name by name, with a floor so nobody tops the board on two lucky calls.

100 names · 52 firms with a record · graded through 2026-09-14. Rebuilt every morning.

Monthly report cards: how often the Street was right, month by month →

Firm leaderboard

Firm	Grade	Accuracy	Scored	Names	Avg 30d after	Avg 90d after	Avg run before
Susquehanna	B	61.5%	104	36	+3.3%	+9.8%	+7.2%
Bernstein	B	60.2%	93	48	+1.9%	+5.5%	+5.2%
TD Cowen	C	58.4%	161	64	+2.0%	+5.0%	+4.5%
Wolfe Research	B	64.3%	28	31	+3.3%	+4.4%	+8.4%
B. Riley Securities	B	64.0%	25	7	+2.6%	+2.8%	+2.0%
Leerink Partners	B	65.0%	20	13	+4.3%	+12.8%	+3.7%
Stifel	C	57.1%	105	34	+4.2%	+11.0%	+6.4%
Argus Research	B	60.6%	33	35	+2.8%	+5.5%	+8.3%
Raymond James	B	61.5%	26	27	+3.2%	+2.9%	+2.3%
BMO Capital	C	56.6%	76	49	+0.5%	+1.5%	+5.0%
Rothschild & Co	B	63.6%	11	11	+0.9%	-0.7%	+16.7%
Morgan Stanley	C	54.3%	243	78	+1.4%	+7.3%	+5.0%
Citigroup	C	53.9%	228	83	+3.5%	+5.2%	+4.7%
Stephens & Co.	C	58.8%	17	10	+2.2%	-3.9%	+0.7%
Jefferies	C	54.3%	105	65	+2.5%	+8.4%	+5.2%
Telsey Advisory Group	C	55.9%	34	4	+0.5%	+4.2%	+0.5%
Evercore ISI Group	C	53.9%	154	59	+1.2%	+8.1%	+4.2%
Cantor Fitzgerald	C	53.6%	138	33	+2.5%	+6.5%	+5.8%
BNP Paribas	B	60.0%	10	11	+0.1%	+4.0%	+5.6%
Guggenheim	C	53.7%	82	23	+0.6%	+0.3%	+1.2%
Goldman Sachs	C	53.3%	92	59	+4.2%	+9.4%	+6.3%
Tigress Financial	C	54.5%	22	11	+2.4%	+4.5%	+9.2%
JPMorgan	C	52.7%	207	82	+0.8%	+4.8%	+5.9%
Piper Sandler	C	52.8%	127	54	+1.3%	+5.2%	+3.6%
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods	C	54.2%	24	14	+1.2%	+1.3%	+6.4%
UBS	C	52.5%	219	83	+1.8%	+3.5%	+3.5%
Canaccord Genuity	C	52.9%	51	18	+1.8%	+0.1%	-2.0%
GLJ Research	C	53.3%	30	8	-4.2%	-3.0%	-2.2%
Barclays	C	51.0%	304	88	+1.9%	+2.2%	+4.2%
Baird	C	50.8%	59	37	-0.2%	+2.5%	+5.3%
Wells Fargo	C	50.9%	277	72	+1.8%	+5.8%	+5.1%
Deutsche Bank	C	50.0%	30	23	+4.1%	+11.0%	+4.5%
Macquarie	D	48.3%	29	9	+2.8%	+6.4%	-2.3%
Seaport Global	D	47.1%	17	17	+1.1%	-0.2%	+19.3%
Wedbush	D	49.5%	91	19	-0.2%	+0.7%	+4.2%
Citizens	D	49.1%	53	17	+0.1%	-0.4%	+0.9%
Truist Securities	D	49.5%	184	55	+0.2%	-0.3%	+1.5%
Mizuho	D	48.5%	132	48	+0.8%	+6.1%	+4.8%
Needham	D	48.4%	128	31	+0.3%	+2.7%	+2.4%
Scotiabank	D	46.3%	41	26	-2.9%	-2.5%	+4.9%
Oppenheimer	D	45.5%	88	33	+0.4%	+5.1%	+2.2%
Bank of America	D	45.9%	133	72	+0.8%	+7.2%	+6.6%
Benchmark	D	44.1%	59	20	+2.3%	+6.5%	+5.7%
BTIG	D	44.4%	90	14	-1.4%	-2.4%	-0.9%
DA Davidson	D	43.8%	73	22	-0.7%	+6.2%	+1.9%
RBC Capital	D	45.4%	185	69	+0.3%	+7.5%	+5.0%
JMP Securities	F	27.3%	11	8	-5.3%	-3.8%	-4.3%
HSBC	F	39.5%	38	34	+3.5%	+5.7%	+6.0%
KeyBanc	D	42.7%	82	29	+1.3%	+8.2%	+9.5%
Rosenblatt	D	42.3%	78	16	-3.0%	+1.9%	+5.0%
Freedom Broker	D	40.4%	52	39	+2.0%	+5.3%	+3.8%
Roth Capital	F	32.0%	25	15	-4.4%	+5.1%	+8.4%

Only firms with 10+ scored calls across the covered names are ranked, and the order weights sample size (a firm's hit rate is shrunk toward the pool average by 40 phantom calls) so a short hot streak doesn't top the board. Accuracy = share of graded calls that were right at 30 days: Buy and Sell ratings, downgrades and upgrades into Hold, and Holds whose price target leans 10%+ one way. True Holds aren't graded; hit rates on fewer than 4 calls print as —.

Accuracy by sector

The leaderboard above is a firm's record across everything it covers. These slice it: the same firms ranked only on the names in one sector, because being right about banks says nothing about being right about semis.

Who's right about semiconductors?Who's right about semi equipment?Who's right about big banks?Who's right about regional banks?Who's right about brokers & exchanges?Who's right about oil & gas majors?Who's right about oil services?Who's right about nat gas & lng?Who's right about power & grid?Who's right about solar & clean?Who's right about biotech?Who's right about medical devices?Who's right about pharma?Who's right about robotics & physical ai?Who's right about sportsbooks & igaming?

Semiconductors basket vs SMH → who's right here →

Ticker	Name	Street grade	Accuracy	Changes 12m	Bull hit	Bear hit	Consensus target	Upside
NVDA	Nvidia	D	42.1%	153	42.1%	—	$327	+54.2%
AVGO	Broadcom	F	16.7%	95	15.9%	—	$532	+53.3%
AMD	Advanced Micro Devices	D	48.4%	149	50.0%	16.7%	$615	+24.6%
TSM	TSM	B	68.2%	24	68.2%	—	$551	+31.0%
INTC	Intel	D	48.6%	110	46.7%	52.0%	$116	+17.8%

Semi Equipment basket vs SOXX → who's right here →

Ticker	Name	Street grade	Accuracy	Changes 12m	Bull hit	Bear hit	Consensus target	Upside
AMAT	Applied Materials	B	61.9%	121	62.7%	—	$641	+49.7%
LRCX	Lam Research	A	70.4%	92	71.2%	—	$373	+35.0%
KLAC	KLA Corporation	B	63.8%	76	64.9%	—	$234	+37.9%
ASML	ASML	A	72.0%	26	72.0%	—	$2151	+34.8%
TER	Teradyne	A	78.0%	47	84.2%	—	$446	+33.6%

Big Banks basket vs XLF → who's right here →

Ticker	Name	Street grade	Accuracy	Changes 12m	Bull hit	Bear hit	Consensus target	Upside
JPM	JPMorgan Chase	C	57.1%	43	59.3%	—	$376	+6.5%
BAC	Bank of America	B	68.3%	67	70.5%	—	$69	+10.9%
WFC	Wells Fargo	D	41.7%	47	41.2%	—	$101	+13.2%
GS	Goldman Sachs	D	42.3%	48	42.9%	40.0%	$1142	+13.8%
MS	Morgan Stanley	C	54.8%	50	55.6%	50.0%	$237	+12.9%

Regional Banks basket vs KRE → who's right here →

Ticker	Name	Street grade	Accuracy	Changes 12m	Bull hit	Bear hit	Consensus target	Upside
USB	U.S. Bancorp	C	51.1%	63	52.4%	40.0%	$70	+11.5%
PNC	PNC Financial Services	D	46.0%	55	45.8%	—	$278	+13.6%
TFC	Truist Financial	D	43.8%	40	52.4%	27.3%	$55	+8.7%
FITB	Fifth Third Bancorp	D	42.9%	45	42.9%	—	$63	+15.0%
KEY	KeyCorp	F	35.5%	39	36.7%	—	$26	+18.2%

Brokers & Exchanges basket vs IAI → who's right here →

Ticker	Name	Street grade	Accuracy	Changes 12m	Bull hit	Bear hit	Consensus target	Upside
SCHW	Charles Schwab Corporation	D	48.9%	47	52.4%	—	$125	+15.9%
IBKR	Interactive Brokers	C	55.0%	22	55.0%	—	$106	+16.8%
HOOD	Robinhood Markets	D	45.5%	91	45.5%	—	$129	+13.4%
CME	CME Group	C	55.6%	43	60.0%	33.3%	$284	+1.1%
ICE	Intercontinental Exchange	C	53.6%	30	53.6%	—	$187	+18.5%

Oil & Gas Majors basket vs XLE → who's right here →

Ticker	Name	Street grade	Accuracy	Changes 12m	Bull hit	Bear hit	Consensus target	Upside
XOM	ExxonMobil	B	63.0%	59	67.4%	—	$171	+3.4%
CVX	Chevron Corporation	D	46.2%	53	48.6%	—	$221	+3.6%
COP	ConocoPhillips	C	57.8%	54	63.4%	0.0%	$145	+5.6%
OXY	Occidental Petroleum	D	44.1%	59	42.9%	50.0%	$68	+8.8%
EOG	EOG Resources	B	66.7%	60	67.6%	—	$160	+7.2%

Oil Services basket vs OIH → who's right here →

Ticker	Name	Street grade	Accuracy	Changes 12m	Bull hit	Bear hit	Consensus target	Upside
SLB	Schlumberger	A	86.0%	58	89.1%	—	$62	+16.5%
HAL	Halliburton	B	69.0%	54	75.7%	20.0%	$43	+24.0%
BKR	Baker Hughes	A	70.2%	53	73.3%	—	$72	+28.0%
FTI	FTI	B	61.5%	27	64.0%	—	$76	+3.5%
NOV	NOV	C	52.4%	31	76.9%	12.5%	$22	+9.3%

Nat Gas & LNG basket vs FCG → who's right here →

Ticker	Name	Street grade	Accuracy	Changes 12m	Bull hit	Bear hit	Consensus target	Upside
EQT	EQT Corporation	C	51.3%	42	48.6%	—	$67	+25.8%
EXE	Expand Energy	C	51.2%	46	47.4%	—	$125	+33.0%
AR	AR	C	56.4%	44	55.3%	—	$50	+28.7%
LNG	LNG	C	56.2%	34	58.1%	—	$310	+12.4%
KMI	Kinder Morgan	F	27.3%	25	27.3%	—	$36	+16.4%

Power & Grid basket vs XLU → who's right here →

Ticker	Name	Street grade	Accuracy	Changes 12m	Bull hit	Bear hit	Consensus target	Upside
VST	Vistra Corp.	F	11.5%	29	8.0%	—	$217	+53.3%
CEG	Constellation Energy	D	46.4%	35	46.4%	—	$348	+30.8%
NRG	NRG Energy	F	38.9%	20	35.3%	—	$189	+72.8%
GEV	GE Vernova	D	42.6%	66	40.4%	75.0%	$1237	+41.8%
TLN	TLN	F	35.0%	23	35.0%	—	$460	+58.2%

Nuclear basket vs URA →

Ticker	Name	Street grade	Accuracy	Changes 12m	Bull hit	Bear hit	Consensus target	Upside
CCJ	CCJ	F	33.3%	14	33.3%	—	$130	+38.8%
OKLO	OKLO	F	34.4%	40	33.3%	—	$79	+114.8%
SMR	SMR	C	55.0%	27	53.8%	57.1%	$12	+42.1%
LEU	LEU	A	76.9%	25	70.0%	—	$247	+65.7%
BWXT	BWXT	F	23.1%	18	20.0%	—	$229	+54.4%

Solar & Clean basket vs TAN → who's right here →

Ticker	Name	Street grade	Accuracy	Changes 12m	Bull hit	Bear hit	Consensus target	Upside
FSLR	First Solar	C	59.3%	64	51.1%	100.0%	$275	+32.1%
ENPH	ENPH	C	58.1%	57	55.2%	64.3%	$53	+43.9%
RUN	RUN	D	41.0%	42	38.7%	50.0%	$16	+92.3%
NXT	NXT	F	22.1%	73	18.5%	—	$141	+69.7%
SEDG	SEDG	C	54.8%	49	69.2%	44.4%	$39	+8.3%

Biotech basket vs XBI → who's right here →

Ticker	Name	Street grade	Accuracy	Changes 12m	Bull hit	Bear hit	Consensus target	Upside
AMGN	Amgen	C	50.0%	66	68.4%	11.1%	$388	+2.2%
GILD	Gilead Sciences	C	55.0%	45	55.6%	50.0%	$158	+8.6%
VRTX	Vertex Pharmaceuticals	C	51.2%	50	50.0%	—	$569	+9.8%
REGN	Regeneron Pharmaceuticals	C	59.2%	68	60.0%	50.0%	$849	+6.6%
MRNA	Moderna	D	43.8%	37	50.0%	40.0%	$120	-18.5%

Medical Devices basket vs IHI → who's right here →

Ticker	Name	Street grade	Accuracy	Changes 12m	Bull hit	Bear hit	Consensus target	Upside
ISRG	Intuitive Surgical	D	42.1%	64	43.6%	—	$476	+26.8%
ABT	Abbott Laboratories	C	58.8%	54	58.8%	—	$120	+17.2%
MDT	Medtronic	D	45.5%	60	45.5%	—	$105	+12.8%
SYK	Stryker Corporation	C	55.0%	47	53.8%	—	$376	+33.6%
BSX	Boston Scientific	F	29.9%	100	28.7%	—	$62	+40.3%

Pharma basket vs PPH → who's right here →

Ticker	Name	Street grade	Accuracy	Changes 12m	Bull hit	Bear hit	Consensus target	Upside
LLY	Lilly (Eli)	B	63.0%	56	64.7%	—	$1319	+15.3%
JNJ	Johnson & Johnson	B	65.8%	61	67.6%	—	$278	+3.9%
PFE	Pfizer	C	52.9%	29	53.8%	50.0%	$29	+4.2%
MRK	Merck & Co.	A	74.2%	52	76.7%	—	$153	+5.5%
ABBV	AbbVie	B	66.7%	64	65.4%	—	$277	+6.0%

Robotics & Physical AI basket vs BOTZ → who's right here →

Ticker	Name	Street grade	Accuracy	Changes 12m	Bull hit	Bear hit	Consensus target	Upside
TSLA	Tesla, Inc.	A	72.2%	103	66.7%	89.5%	$390	+7.6%
ISRG	Intuitive Surgical	D	42.1%	64	43.6%	—	$476	+26.8%
SYM	SYM	F	36.8%	21	10.0%	66.7%	$64	+52.9%
ROK	Rockwell Automation	C	59.1%	37	63.2%	—	$479	+14.4%
TER	Teradyne	A	78.0%	47	84.2%	—	$446	+33.6%

Quantum basket vs QTUM →

Ticker	Name	Street grade	Accuracy	Changes 12m	Bull hit	Bear hit	Consensus target	Upside
RGTI	RGTI	F	33.3%	21	30.0%	—	$29	+87.0%
QBTS	QBTS	F	33.3%	33	33.3%	—	$35	+106.4%
QUBT	QUBT	F	14.3%	15	14.3%	—	$19	+130.9%
ARQQ	ARQQ	—	—	2	—	—	—	—

Sportsbooks & iGaming basket vs BETZ → who's right here →

Ticker	Name	Street grade	Accuracy	Changes 12m	Bull hit	Bear hit	Consensus target	Upside
DKNG	DKNG	C	57.9%	100	58.2%	50.0%	$35	+45.7%
FLUT	FLUT	C	51.1%	90	48.2%	100.0%	$139	+40.4%
MGM	MGM Resorts	D	48.5%	47	45.5%	54.5%	$50	+25.9%
CZR	CZR	C	54.8%	49	70.0%	16.7%	$31	+5.3%
PENN	PENN	F	28.6%	35	26.9%	—	$24	+37.0%

Large caps & most-searched

Ticker	Name	Street grade	Accuracy	Changes 12m	Bull hit	Bear hit	Consensus target	Upside
AAPL	Apple Inc.	B	69.8%	114	77.3%	18.2%	$326	-2.6%
AMZN	Amazon	D	40.9%	151	41.5%	—	$328	+28.8%
BA	Boeing	F	28.6%	29	28.6%	—	$275	+30.2%
COST	Costco	C	59.1%	61	60.5%	—	$1072	+17.1%
CRWD	CrowdStrike	B	67.4%	213	67.2%	—	$234	-1.9%
DIS	Walt Disney Company (The)	C	54.8%	42	54.8%	—	$128	+17.7%
GOOGL	Alphabet Inc. (Class A)	C	52.3%	152	52.3%	—	$428	+23.4%
HD	Home Depot (The)	B	69.5%	82	70.2%	—	$377	+21.5%
MA	Mastercard	D	42.9%	51	42.9%	—	$667	+15.9%
MSFT	Microsoft	C	52.6%	101	52.6%	—	$573	+12.9%
NFLX	Netflix	F	30.9%	96	28.6%	75.0%	$94	+16.0%
ORCL	Oracle Corporation	F	33.3%	118	31.0%	—	$239	+66.0%
PLTR	Palantir Technologies	C	54.2%	58	55.6%	—	$196	+13.3%
SHOP	SHOP	C	51.8%	66	50.9%	—	$171	+27.4%
UBER	Uber	F	29.2%	82	29.2%	—	$101	+39.7%
UNH	UnitedHealth Group	D	46.0%	68	46.8%	—	$475	+24.0%
V	Visa Inc.	C	58.1%	47	58.1%	—	$419	+11.5%
WMT	Walmart	D	49.4%	98	48.1%	—	$127	+16.8%

How the grading works

Every sell-side rating change from the last 365 days is priced the day it lands and checked again 30, 60 and 90 days later. A call is a hit when the stock moved in the called direction at 30 days. Buy- and Sell-side ratings call their own direction. A Hold is read, not waved through: a downgrade to Hold is graded as a bearish call and an upgrade to Hold as a bullish one, and a maintained Hold whose price target sits 10%+ above the price leans bullish (10%+ below, leans bearish) and is graded that way. A Hold with a target close to the price is a true Hold and is not graded at all. Every call with a price target also gets a target check 90 days later: hit (reached it or within 5%), close (covered at least half the distance) or missed. A firm's accuracy on a single name prints only after 4 scored calls, and a firm gets its own page only after 10 scored calls across every covered name — below that a percentage is noise. "Run before the call" is the stock's move over the 30 calendar days before the rating landed. Data: Yahoo Finance rating history and daily closes, rebuilt each morning. Nothing on this page is advice.