How the Street's calls on regional banks played out
Sell-side price targets on regional banks names over the last two years, checked over each firm's own horizon: 102 of 321 resolved targets (32%) were reached while they stood, 212 were replaced by the same firm first, and 7 fell short at their deadline.
5 names · 14 firms with 8+ resolved targets here · checked through 2026-10-29. Rebuilt every morning.
Firm by firm on regional banks
| # | Firm | Targets reached | Replaced early | Short | Resolved | Ratings vs sector | Names |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Truist Securities | 10 (31%) | 22 | 0 | 32 | 1 of 1 | FITB KEY PNC USB |
| Morgan Stanley | 4 (14%) | 25 | 0 | 29 | — | FITB KEY PNC TFC USB | |
| Evercore ISI Group | 9 (32%) | 19 | 0 | 28 | 2 of 2 | FITB KEY PNC TFC USB | |
| RBC Capital | 14 (61%) | 9 | 0 | 23 | 4 of 4 | FITB KEY PNC TFC USB | |
| Oppenheimer | 0 (0%) | 23 | 0 | 23 | 1 of 2 | PNC USB | |
| Citigroup | 4 (17%) | 18 | 1 | 23 | 1 of 3 | FITB KEY PNC TFC USB | |
| Wells Fargo | 5 (24%) | 16 | 0 | 21 | 0 of 4 | FITB KEY PNC TFC USB | |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | 9 (45%) | 11 | 0 | 20 | 0 of 1 | FITB KEY PNC TFC USB | |
| DA Davidson | 4 (20%) | 16 | 0 | 20 | 3 of 3 | FITB KEY USB | |
| JPMorgan | 9 (50%) | 9 | 0 | 18 | 2 of 3 | FITB KEY PNC TFC USB | |
| Barclays | 2 (13%) | 13 | 0 | 15 | 2 of 3 | FITB KEY PNC TFC USB | |
| Piper Sandler | 6 (50%) | 5 | 1 | 12 | 2 of 4 | FITB KEY PNC TFC USB | |
| Baird | 5 (62%) | 3 | 0 | 8 | 1 of 1 | FITB KEY PNC TFC USB | |
| UBS | 3 (38%) | 5 | 0 | 8 | 2 of 2 | FITB KEY PNC TFC USB |
Numbered firms have 30+ resolved targets in this sector and are ordered by the share reached; the rest are listed by volume, unranked. A record inside one sector is a slice of a slice: none of these counts is a measure of skill, and none carries a letter. How targets and ratings are checked →
The names
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How calls are checked
Every call is checked on the firm's own terms. A price target is followed until its own deadline (12 months unless the firm publishes a different horizon) and ends as reached (the stock closed at or beyond it while it stood), replaced (the same firm set a new target first) or short at deadline. A rating is compared with the stock's sector SPDR ETF on total return over the rating's life, because most big-firm ratings are relative: Overweight means "beat its peers", not "go up". Hold-type ratings are tracked, not graded. A firm is numbered only with 30+ resolved targets, and a letter prints only for a firm's whole record where an exact test separates it from a coin flip. None of this is a verdict on anyone's skill, and one day is never a grade. The full method →
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