dataphilScorecard › Regional Banks accuracy

Which firms have been right about regional banks?

195 graded sell-side calls on regional banks names over the last year, sorted by which firm was actually right. Truist Securities leads at 69% on 13 calls; Evercore ISI Group sits last at 31% on 16. The sector as a whole ran 45%.

5 names · 11 firms clearing 8 scored calls · graded through 2026-09-14. Rebuilt every morning.

Best in sector
69.2%
Truist Securities
Sector average
44.6%
across 195 graded calls
Worst in sector
31.2%
Evercore ISI Group

Firm accuracy on regional banks

FirmGradeAccuracyRightScoredNamesDeepest record here
Truist Securities B 69.2% 9 13 4 USB 3 of 6
Oppenheimer B 62.5% 10 16 2 PNC 5 of 8
RBC Capital B 60.0% 12 20 5 USB 4 of 5
TD Cowen C 58.3% 7 12 5 USB 2 of 3
Barclays C 50.0% 5 10 5 USB 2 of 3
JPMorgan D 43.8% 7 16 4 PNC 2 of 5
Wells Fargo D 40.0% 4 10 4 PNC 2 of 4
DA Davidson F 38.5% 5 13 3 KEY 2 of 5
Citigroup F 33.3% 3 9 4 PNC 2 of 4
Morgan Stanley F 35.0% 7 20 5 TFC 2 of 7
Evercore ISI Group F 31.2% 5 16 5 TFC 2 of 5

Ordered by a hit rate shrunk toward the sector's own 44.6% average by 10 phantom calls, so a firm that went 9-for-13 does not outrank a deeper record on a hot streak. Raw accuracy is the column; the order is the shrunk figure. Firms under 8 scored calls in this sector are left off entirely.

The names behind these numbers

FITB · DKEY · FPNC · DTFC · DUSB · C Regional Banks vs KRE →

Other sectors

SemiconductorsSemi EquipmentBig BanksBrokers & ExchangesOil & Gas MajorsOil ServicesNat Gas & LNGPower & GridSolar & CleanBiotechMedical DevicesPharmaRobotics & Physical AISportsbooks & iGaming
How the grading works

Every sell-side rating change from the last 365 days is priced the day it lands and checked again 30, 60 and 90 days later. A call is a hit when the stock moved in the called direction at 30 days. Buy- and Sell-side ratings call their own direction. A Hold is read, not waved through: a downgrade to Hold is graded as a bearish call and an upgrade to Hold as a bullish one, and a maintained Hold whose price target sits 10%+ above the price leans bullish (10%+ below, leans bearish) and is graded that way. A Hold with a target close to the price is a true Hold and is not graded at all. Every call with a price target also gets a target check 90 days later: hit (reached it or within 5%), close (covered at least half the distance) or missed. A firm's accuracy on a single name prints only after 4 scored calls, and a firm gets its own page only after 10 scored calls across every covered name — below that a percentage is noise. "Run before the call" is the stock's move over the 30 calendar days before the rating landed. Data: Yahoo Finance rating history and daily closes, rebuilt each morning. Nothing on this page is advice.

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