Which firms have been right about pharma?
194 graded sell-side calls on pharma names over the last year, sorted by which firm was actually right. Guggenheim leads at 73% on 26 calls; RBC Capital sits last at 40% on 15. The sector as a whole ran 66%.
5 names · 7 firms clearing 8 scored calls · graded through 2026-09-14. Rebuilt every morning.
Firm accuracy on pharma
| Firm | Grade | Accuracy | Right | Scored | Names | Deepest record here |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guggenheim | A | 73.1% | 19 | 26 | 5 | LLY 6 of 8 |
| JPMorgan | B | 63.6% | 7 | 11 | 5 | LLY 2 of 4 |
| Morgan Stanley | B | 62.5% | 10 | 16 | 5 | LLY 4 of 6 |
| Citigroup | C | 55.6% | 5 | 9 | 3 | JNJ 2 of 6 |
| Wells Fargo | C | 57.1% | 8 | 14 | 4 | MRK 4 of 5 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | C | 50.0% | 6 | 12 | 3 | ABBV 3 of 6 |
| RBC Capital | D | 40.0% | 6 | 15 | 5 | JNJ 3 of 5 |
Ordered by a hit rate shrunk toward the sector's own 65.5% average by 10 phantom calls, so a firm that went 19-for-26 does not outrank a deeper record on a hot streak. Raw accuracy is the column; the order is the shrunk figure. Firms under 8 scored calls in this sector are left off entirely.
The names behind these numbers
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How the grading works
Every sell-side rating change from the last 365 days is priced the day it lands and checked again 30, 60 and 90 days later. A call is a hit when the stock moved in the called direction at 30 days. Buy- and Sell-side ratings call their own direction. A Hold is read, not waved through: a downgrade to Hold is graded as a bearish call and an upgrade to Hold as a bullish one, and a maintained Hold whose price target sits 10%+ above the price leans bullish (10%+ below, leans bearish) and is graded that way. A Hold with a target close to the price is a true Hold and is not graded at all. Every call with a price target also gets a target check 90 days later: hit (reached it or within 5%), close (covered at least half the distance) or missed. A firm's accuracy on a single name prints only after 4 scored calls, and a firm gets its own page only after 10 scored calls across every covered name — below that a percentage is noise. "Run before the call" is the stock's move over the 30 calendar days before the rating landed. Data: Yahoo Finance rating history and daily closes, rebuilt each morning. Nothing on this page is advice.
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