dataphilScorecard › Sportsbooks & iGaming accuracy

Which firms have been right about sportsbooks & igaming?

286 graded sell-side calls on sportsbooks & igaming names over the last year, sorted by which firm was actually right. Needham leads at 80% on 10 calls; Citizens sits last at 41% on 17. The sector as a whole ran 51%.

5 names · 15 firms clearing 8 scored calls · graded through 2026-09-14. Rebuilt every morning.

Best in sector
80.0%
Needham
Sector average
51.4%
across 286 graded calls
Worst in sector
41.2%
Citizens

Firm accuracy on sportsbooks & igaming

FirmGradeAccuracyRightScoredNamesDeepest record here
Needham A 80.0% 8 10 3 DKNG 4 of 5
Citigroup A 72.7% 8 11 3 DKNG 4 of 6
UBS B 66.7% 6 9 3 FLUT 4 of 5
Macquarie B 60.0% 12 20 5 CZR 5 of 6
JPMorgan C 58.8% 10 17 5 DKNG 4 of 5
Wells Fargo C 55.6% 10 18 5 FLUT 5 of 6
Barclays C 55.0% 11 20 5 FLUT 3 of 8
Mizuho C 55.6% 5 9 3 DKNG 3 of 4
Truist Securities C 54.2% 13 24 5 FLUT 3 of 7
BTIG D 47.1% 8 17 2 FLUT 5 of 9
Susquehanna D 45.5% 5 11 5 DKNG 2 of 4
Stifel D 45.5% 10 22 5 FLUT 3 of 6
Benchmark D 41.7% 5 12 3 FLUT 3 of 6
Morgan Stanley D 40.0% 4 10 4 CZR 2 of 4
Citizens D 41.2% 7 17 4 FLUT 2 of 8

Ordered by a hit rate shrunk toward the sector's own 51.4% average by 10 phantom calls, so a firm that went 8-for-10 does not outrank a deeper record on a hot streak. Raw accuracy is the column; the order is the shrunk figure. Firms under 8 scored calls in this sector are left off entirely.

The names behind these numbers

CZR · CDKNG · CFLUT · CMGM · DPENN · F Sportsbooks & iGaming vs BETZ →

Other sectors

SemiconductorsSemi EquipmentBig BanksRegional BanksBrokers & ExchangesOil & Gas MajorsOil ServicesNat Gas & LNGPower & GridSolar & CleanBiotechMedical DevicesPharmaRobotics & Physical AI
How the grading works

Every sell-side rating change from the last 365 days is priced the day it lands and checked again 30, 60 and 90 days later. A call is a hit when the stock moved in the called direction at 30 days. Buy- and Sell-side ratings call their own direction. A Hold is read, not waved through: a downgrade to Hold is graded as a bearish call and an upgrade to Hold as a bullish one, and a maintained Hold whose price target sits 10%+ above the price leans bullish (10%+ below, leans bearish) and is graded that way. A Hold with a target close to the price is a true Hold and is not graded at all. Every call with a price target also gets a target check 90 days later: hit (reached it or within 5%), close (covered at least half the distance) or missed. A firm's accuracy on a single name prints only after 4 scored calls, and a firm gets its own page only after 10 scored calls across every covered name — below that a percentage is noise. "Run before the call" is the stock's move over the 30 calendar days before the rating landed. Data: Yahoo Finance rating history and daily closes, rebuilt each morning. Nothing on this page is advice.

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