How the Street's calls on big banks played out
Sell-side price targets on big banks names over the last two years, checked over each firm's own horizon: 121 of 347 resolved targets (35%) were reached while they stood, 223 were replaced by the same firm first, and 3 fell short at their deadline.
5 names · 14 firms with 8+ resolved targets here · checked through 2026-10-29. Rebuilt every morning.
Firm by firm on big banks
| # | Firm | Targets reached | Replaced early | Short | Resolved | Ratings vs sector | Names |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Evercore ISI Group | 10 (32%) | 21 | 0 | 31 | 5 of 5 | BAC GS JPM MS WFC |
| 2 | Wells Fargo | 8 (26%) | 23 | 0 | 31 | 3 of 3 | BAC GS JPM MS |
| 3 | Truist Securities | 7 (21%) | 26 | 0 | 33 | 2 of 2 | BAC JPM WFC |
| 4 | Morgan Stanley | 4 (12%) | 29 | 0 | 33 | 1 of 1 | BAC GS JPM WFC |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | 9 (32%) | 19 | 0 | 28 | 3 of 3 | BAC GS JPM MS WFC | |
| JPMorgan | 11 (42%) | 15 | 0 | 26 | 1 of 1 | BAC GS MS WFC | |
| Barclays | 6 (24%) | 19 | 0 | 25 | 5 of 5 | BAC GS JPM MS WFC | |
| UBS | 9 (43%) | 12 | 0 | 21 | 3 of 3 | BAC GS JPM MS WFC | |
| Citigroup | 5 (31%) | 11 | 0 | 16 | 1 of 1 | BAC GS JPM MS WFC | |
| Oppenheimer | 4 (27%) | 11 | 0 | 15 | 1 of 1 | BAC GS JPM MS | |
| Bank of America | 4 (29%) | 10 | 0 | 14 | 3 of 3 | GS JPM MS WFC | |
| Piper Sandler | 8 (57%) | 6 | 0 | 14 | 2 of 2 | BAC JPM WFC | |
| RBC Capital | 9 (75%) | 3 | 0 | 12 | 3 of 3 | BAC GS JPM MS WFC | |
| Goldman Sachs | 5 (50%) | 5 | 0 | 10 | 2 of 2 | BAC MS WFC |
Numbered firms have 30+ resolved targets in this sector and are ordered by the share reached; the rest are listed by volume, unranked. A record inside one sector is a slice of a slice: none of these counts is a measure of skill, and none carries a letter. How targets and ratings are checked →
The names
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How calls are checked
Every call is checked on the firm's own terms. A price target is followed until its own deadline (12 months unless the firm publishes a different horizon) and ends as reached (the stock closed at or beyond it while it stood), replaced (the same firm set a new target first) or short at deadline. A rating is compared with the stock's sector SPDR ETF on total return over the rating's life, because most big-firm ratings are relative: Overweight means "beat its peers", not "go up". Hold-type ratings are tracked, not graded. A firm is numbered only with 30+ resolved targets, and a letter prints only for a firm's whole record where an exact test separates it from a coin flip. None of this is a verdict on anyone's skill, and one day is never a grade. The full method →
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