dataphil › Scorecard › Report cards

How often is the Street right?

Graded under the earlier rules. Report cards published before 2026-10-13 checked each call's direction 30 days after it was made. The site now checks every target and rating over the firm's own horizon instead; these months stay as published. The current method →

Across 11 graded months, 51% of the Street's calls were right 30 days later (2478 of 4843). The best month was August 2026 at 64%; the worst, March 2026 at 38%. A Hold only counts when it was a downgrade or upgrade, or its price target leaned 10%+ one way, so nobody gets credit for sitting on the fence.

12 months · Holds read through their rating change or price target · each month frozen once it closes.

Directional hit rate by month

0% 25% 50% 75% November 2025: 49.1% of 580 calls 49 Nov 25 December 2025: 49.6% of 347 calls 50 Dec 25 January 2026: 52.6% of 302 calls 53 Jan 26 February 2026: 49.7% of 499 calls 50 Feb 26 March 2026: 37.7% of 451 calls 38 Mar 26 April 2026: 48.7% of 300 calls 49 Apr 26 May 2026: 49.2% of 594 calls 49 May 26 June 2026: 53.6% of 364 calls 54 Jun 26 July 2026: 48.5% of 305 calls 48 Jul 26 August 2026: 63.8% of 693 calls 64 Aug 26 September 2026: 54.2% of 408 calls 54 Sep 26 October 2026: 53.3% of 319 calls 53 Oct 26

The 50% line is a coin flip. Faded bar = month still in progress.

Every report card

MonthHit rateCalls gradedBullish rightTop firmStatus
October 2026 53.3% 319 53.2% Bernstein 9/12 In progress
September 2026 54.2% 408 55.9% Cantor Fitzgerald 13/17 Frozen
August 2026 63.8% 693 64.9% Evercore ISI Group 22/27 Frozen
July 2026 48.5% 305 48.6% Morgan Stanley 15/19 Frozen
June 2026 53.6% 364 55.2% Bernstein 9/9 Frozen
May 2026 49.2% 594 50.4% Wedbush 8/10 Frozen
April 2026 48.7% 300 48.4% Goldman Sachs 8/11 Frozen
March 2026 37.7% 451 36.7% Truist Securities 8/15 Frozen
February 2026 49.7% 499 49.1% Susquehanna 13/15 Frozen
January 2026 52.6% 302 53.0% Jefferies 9/10 Frozen
December 2025 49.6% 347 48.9% Morgan Stanley 11/17 Frozen
November 2025 49.1% 580 47.9% Morgan Stanley 22/32 Frozen
12-month firm leaderboard →
How the report cards are graded

Each month collects the sell-side calls whose 30-day mark fell in that month. Bullish calls are right when the stock is higher 30 days later, bearish ones when it is lower. A downgrade to Hold counts as a bearish call and an upgrade to Hold as a bullish one; a maintained Hold whose price target sits 10%+ away from the price leans that way. True Holds, with a target near the price, are not graded. Same rules as the 12-month scorecard. A month is frozen the morning after it closes and never edited. Data: Yahoo Finance rating history and daily closes. Nothing here is advice.

Get next month's report card

Our take, the S&P 500 Pulse, the Street's calls and today's docket — one email, weekdays, 9 AM ET, 30 minutes before the open.