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The Street's report card: September 2026

Graded under the earlier rules. Report cards published before 2026-10-13 checked each call's direction 30 days after it was made. The site now checks every target and rating over the firm's own horizon instead; these months stay as published. The current method →

54% of the Street's calls graded in September 2026 were right (221 of 408). That's down from 65% the month before. Cantor Fitzgerald led at 76% on 17 calls.

Calls dated Aug 2, 2026 to Aug 31, 2026, each graded 30 days later. Frozen Oct 1, 2026; this page will not change.

Graded calls right
54.2%
221 of 408
Bullish calls right
55.9%
381 calls
Bearish calls right
29.6%
27 calls
Month before
64.7%
726 calls
Holds, read: 11 downgrades and upgrades into Hold were graded as the change (54.5% right), and 37 Holds whose price target leaned 10%+ one way were graded that way (32.4% right). 46 true Holds, with a target near the price, weren't graded.
Bullish calls made after the stock had already run 10%+ in the prior 30 days were right 69.7% of the time (122 calls). The rest were right 49.4% (259 calls).

Firm leaderboard

#FirmHit rateRightCallsNames
1 Cantor Fitzgerald 76.5%131715
2 UBS 73.7%141919
3 Guggenheim 71.4%101413
4 BMO Capital 75.0%688
5 Rosenblatt 66.7%698
6 Benchmark 63.6%71110
7 Mizuho 61.5%81312
8 KeyBanc 62.5%586
9 Barclays 59.1%132221
10 JPMorgan 60.0%61010

21 firms had 8+ calls graded this month. Order uses each firm's hit rate pulled toward the month's 54.2% average by 10 phantom calls, so a short streak doesn't top the board. Read it as a month's scoreboard, not a skill ranking: on 14 calls a coin flip lands anywhere in a ±13-point band two-thirds of the time, which is most of the spread you see. The full-year test →

Bottom of the board

FirmHit rateRightCalls
RBC Capital 28.6%621
Citizens 25.0%28
Wolfe Research 37.5%38
Citigroup 46.7%715
TD Cowen 47.1%817

Best calls

StockFirmCallDateRun before30 days later
MRNA Argus Research Buy from Hold 2026-08-28 +153.2% +43.0%
CRWD Jefferies Buy 2026-08-24 +4.0% +37.7%
AMD Raymond James Strong Buy from Outperform 2026-08-25 -8.2% +31.3%
CRWD JPMorgan Overweight 2026-08-20 -0.4% +31.0%
AMD BMO Capital Outperform 2026-08-21 -14.3% +30.1%
CRWD Scotiabank Sector Outperform 2026-08-21 +1.9% +29.9%

Worst misses

StockFirmCallDateRun before30 days later
MRNA Barclays Leans bearish · Equal-Weight, target -10% 2026-08-24 +156.9% +31.1%
MRNA Goldman Sachs Leans bearish · Neutral, target -10% 2026-08-20 +123.5% +29.7%
MRNA Morgan Stanley Leans bearish · Equal-Weight, target -33% 2026-08-20 +123.5% +29.7%
LEU Stifel Buy 2026-08-25 +18.0% -23.8%
MRNA JPMorgan Underweight 2026-08-21 +149.9% +19.2%
AMAT Argus Research Buy 2026-08-18 -2.9% -18.9%

By sector

SectorHit rateCalls
Oil & Gas Majors 94.7%19
Pharma 73.1%26
Semiconductors 72.7%44
Cybersecurity 71.1%76
Biotech 64.5%31
Large caps & most-searched 55.7%79
Sportsbooks & iGaming 54.5%22
Solar & Clean 13.6%22
Nuclear 6.7%15
Semi Equipment 5.3%19

Most-called stocks

StockCalls gradedFirmsRight
CRWD352591.4%
NVDA2520100.0%
WMT191678.9%
AMAT17175.9%
AMGN161562.5%

When a dozen firms reiterate the same stock in the same week, one move grades all of them. These rows are one bet repeated, not a dozen independent calls.

Other months

October 2026 · 53%August 2026 · 64%July 2026 · 48%June 2026 · 54%May 2026 · 49%April 2026 · 49%March 2026 · 38%February 2026 · 50%January 2026 · 53%December 2025 · 50%November 2025 · 49% Full 12-month scorecard →
How this report card is graded

A call lands in the month its 30-day mark falls in. A bullish call is right if the stock is higher 30 days later, a bearish one if it is lower. Buy- and Sell-side ratings call their own direction. Holds are read: a downgrade to Hold is a bearish call, an upgrade to Hold a bullish one, and a maintained Hold whose price target sits 10%+ above (below) the price leans bullish (bearish). A true Hold, with a target near the price, is counted (46 this month) but not graded. Same rules as the 12-month scorecard. "Run before" is the stock's move over the 30 calendar days before the call. Once a month closes, its report card is frozen and never edited. Data: Yahoo Finance rating history and daily closes. Nothing on this page is advice.

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