How the Street's calls on oil & gas majors played out
Sell-side price targets on oil & gas majors names over the last two years, checked over each firm's own horizon: 128 of 410 resolved targets (31%) were reached while they stood, 273 were replaced by the same firm first, and 9 fell short at their deadline.
5 names · 15 firms with 8+ resolved targets here · checked through 2026-10-29. Rebuilt every morning.
Firm by firm on oil & gas majors
| # | Firm | Targets reached | Replaced early | Short | Resolved | Ratings vs sector | Names |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barclays | 8 (24%) | 25 | 0 | 33 | 1 of 2 | COP CVX EOG OXY XOM |
| 2 | Mizuho | 8 (20%) | 33 | 0 | 41 | 0 of 3 | COP CVX EOG OXY XOM |
| 3 | Morgan Stanley | 6 (16%) | 31 | 0 | 37 | 1 of 2 | COP CVX EOG OXY XOM |
| 4 | Wells Fargo | 7 (15%) | 40 | 0 | 47 | 1 of 3 | COP CVX EOG OXY XOM |
| 5 | Piper Sandler | 6 (15%) | 35 | 0 | 41 | 2 of 3 | COP CVX EOG OXY XOM |
| 6 | UBS | 4 (10%) | 38 | 0 | 42 | 2 of 4 | COP CVX EOG OXY XOM |
| Susquehanna | 3 (15%) | 17 | 0 | 20 | 0 of 3 | COP EOG OXY | |
| RBC Capital | 9 (47%) | 9 | 1 | 19 | 1 of 3 | COP CVX EOG XOM | |
| Raymond James | 1 (6%) | 13 | 2 | 16 | 1 of 4 | COP CVX EOG OXY | |
| Citigroup | 9 (60%) | 5 | 1 | 15 | 0 of 2 | COP CVX EOG OXY XOM | |
| Truist Securities | 8 (67%) | 2 | 2 | 12 | 0 of 1 | COP CVX EOG OXY XOM | |
| Bank of America | 6 (50%) | 6 | 0 | 12 | 0 of 1 | COP CVX EOG OXY XOM | |
| Scotiabank | 10 (83%) | 2 | 0 | 12 | 1 of 1 | COP CVX EOG OXY XOM | |
| JPMorgan | 5 (46%) | 6 | 0 | 11 | 1 of 2 | COP EOG OXY XOM | |
| TD Cowen | 6 (67%) | 2 | 1 | 9 | 0 of 1 | CVX OXY XOM |
Numbered firms have 30+ resolved targets in this sector and are ordered by the share reached; the rest are listed by volume, unranked. A record inside one sector is a slice of a slice: none of these counts is a measure of skill, and none carries a letter. How targets and ratings are checked →
The names
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How calls are checked
Every call is checked on the firm's own terms. A price target is followed until its own deadline (12 months unless the firm publishes a different horizon) and ends as reached (the stock closed at or beyond it while it stood), replaced (the same firm set a new target first) or short at deadline. A rating is compared with the stock's sector SPDR ETF on total return over the rating's life, because most big-firm ratings are relative: Overweight means "beat its peers", not "go up". Hold-type ratings are tracked, not graded. A firm is numbered only with 30+ resolved targets, and a letter prints only for a firm's whole record where an exact test separates it from a coin flip. None of this is a verdict on anyone's skill, and one day is never a grade. The full method →
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