ScorecardOil & Gas Majors (who's right about oil & gas majors) › COP

COP analyst scorecard · ConocoPhillips

54 rating changes on COP in the last 12 months. 63% of bullish calls were right at 30 days; 0% of bearish ones. Street grade C on 45 scored calls. Consensus target $145, 6% above the last close.

Graded through 2026-09-14 · last close $136.94 (2026-09-14). Rebuilt every morning.

Street grade
C 57.8%
Rating changes, 12 mo
54
Bullish calls right at 30d
63.4% of 41
Bearish calls right at 30d
0.0% of 4
Consensus target
$145 +6.2%
Firms covering
25
Price targets hit (90d)
33.3% of 39

Holds on COP, read: 3 cut to or raised to Hold (graded as the change) · 1 Holds whose target leaned 10%+ one way (graded that way) · 5 true Holds, not graded.

Firm by firm

FirmCallsScoredRightAccuracyGradeAvg 30dAvg 90dLatestDateTarget
Susquehanna 444 100.0% A +9.1% +16.7% Positive2026-08-11 $161
UBS 654 80.0% A +6.8% +16.2% Buy2026-09-14 $169
Wells Fargo 554 80.0% A +7.2% +10.1% Overweight2026-08-07 $189
Piper Sandler 443 75.0% A +3.1% +5.0% Overweight2026-04-08 $157
Morgan Stanley 653 60.0% B +1.7% +6.6% Overweight2026-08-19 $151
Mizuho 551 20.0% F -1.3% +8.5% Outperform2026-07-07 $146
Barclays 540 0.0% F -6.7% +1.9% Overweight2026-08-17 $150
BMO Capital 111 +8.7% +6.8% Outperform2026-02-06 $115
Bernstein 111 +8.5% +32.7% Outperform2026-01-05 $98
RBC Capital 111 +0.3% +7.6% Outperform2025-10-13 $118
Citigroup 332 +4.0% -5.6% Buy2026-04-02 $150
Roth Capital 221 +12.1% +14.5% Buy2026-06-22 $130
JPMorgan 221 +15.9% +25.0% Neutral2026-01-20 $98
Truist Securities 300 +4.5% -15.2% Hold2026-08-10 $130
Seaport Global 100 Neutral2026-09-03
Argus Research 100 Buy2026-08-19 $153
Scotiabank 100 -1.8% -4.2% Sector Perform2026-04-22 $125
Bank of America 110 +10.8% +23.8% Underperform2026-01-16 $102
Johnson Rice 110 +5.9% +24.7% Hold2025-12-05 $105
Evercore ISI Group 110 -7.6% +4.5% Outperform2025-10-06 $111

Dimmed rows have fewer than 4 scored calls on COP — too few to grade.

Every call, last 12 months

DateFirmChangeActionGraded asPrice at callRun before+30d+60d+90dTarget · 90d checkHit
2026-09-14 UBS Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $136.94 +8.0% $169 pending
2026-09-03 Seaport Global Neutral initiated True hold $135.72 +15.1% not graded
2026-08-19 Morgan Stanley Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $130.58 +12.9% $151 pending
2026-08-19 Argus Research Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $130.58 +12.9% $153 pending
2026-08-17 Barclays Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $127.56 +11.2% $150 pending
2026-08-12 UBS Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $127.30 +12.8% +7.9% $153
2026-08-11 Susquehanna Positive → Positive maintained Bullish $125.92 +15.5% +8.8% $161
2026-08-10 Truist Securities Hold → Hold maintained True hold · target +5% $123.03 +12.8% +11.0% $130 not graded
2026-08-07 Wells Fargo Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $117.61 +6.2% +14.8% $189
2026-07-21 Susquehanna Positive → Positive maintained Bullish $117.50 +9.1% +14.8% $155
2026-07-08 UBS Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $110.72 -6.9% +6.2% +22.0% $143
2026-07-08 Truist Securities Hold → Hold maintained True hold · target +3% $110.72 -6.9% +6.2% +22.0% $115 not graded
2026-07-07 Mizuho Outperform → Outperform maintained Bullish $108.44 -7.4% +7.7% +24.5% $146
2026-06-29 Morgan Stanley Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $104.20 -8.6% +13.3% +25.1% $146
2026-06-22 Roth Capital Neutral → Buy upgrade Bullish $109.70 -8.9% +8.3% +22.9% $130
2026-05-27 Mizuho Outperform → Outperform maintained Bullish $115.13 -5.4% -8.0% +0.4% +14.5% $150 missed
2026-05-26 Barclays Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $116.57 -4.3% -8.7% -0.8% +14.4% $155 missed
2026-05-22 Morgan Stanley Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $120.46 -1.8% -8.9% -2.5% +12.0% $153 missed
2026-05-01 Barclays Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $123.19 -4.0% -6.2% -15.6% -3.4% $136 missed
2026-04-22 Scotiabank Sector Perform → Sector Perform maintained True hold · target +2% $122.60 -3.6% -1.8% -10.5% -4.2% $125 missed not graded
2026-04-09 Wells Fargo Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $123.47 +8.2% -6.4% -3.7% -10.3% $183 missed
2026-04-08 Piper Sandler Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $125.22 +7.0% -9.1% -5.1% -13.4% $157 missed
2026-04-02 Citigroup Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $130.52 +10.1% -4.3% -11.4% -20.9% $150 missed
2026-03-27 Morgan Stanley Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $133.80 +21.6% -9.1% -12.9% -20.5% $149 missed
2026-03-24 Truist Securities Buy → Hold initiated True hold · target -4% $129.35 +17.0% -3.9% -9.9% -15.2% $124 hit not graded
2026-03-17 Mizuho Outperform → Outperform maintained Bullish $122.87 +10.3% -1.1% +1.4% -8.6% $136 missed
2026-03-16 Barclays Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $121.32 +8.9% -2.0% +0.9% -7.5% $128 missed
2026-03-12 Piper Sandler Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $120.26 +11.9% +2.8% -3.9% -0.3% $154 missed
2026-03-05 UBS Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $116.82 +11.3% +12.7% +6.9% +1.9% $144 missed
2026-03-02 Citigroup Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $118.24 +13.4% +8.6% +4.2% -2.2% $135 missed
2026-02-17 Roth Capital Buy → Neutral downgrade Bearish · cut to Neutral $108.78 +10.8% +15.8% +7.0% +14.5% $112 hit
2026-02-09 Citigroup Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $108.70 +11.5% +7.7% +12.7% +6.3% $125 missed
2026-02-06 BMO Capital Outperform → Outperform maintained Bullish $107.62 +14.6% +8.7% +22.4% +6.8% $115 hit
2026-02-06 Wells Fargo Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $107.62 +14.6% +8.7% +22.4% +6.8% $133 missed
2026-02-06 Piper Sandler Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $107.62 +14.6% +8.7% +22.4% +6.8% $111 hit
2026-01-26 Susquehanna Positive → Positive maintained Bullish $98.45 +7.5% +11.7% +35.9% +23.6% $115 hit
2026-01-23 Morgan Stanley Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $98.35 +7.1% +11.7% +31.5% +26.5% $108 hit
2026-01-20 JPMorgan Overweight → Neutral downgrade Bearish · cut to Neutral $95.52 +3.9% +16.8% +33.2% +21.9% $98 hit
2026-01-16 Bank of America Neutral → Underperform downgrade Bearish $98.19 +3.4% +10.8% +25.1% +23.8% $102 hit
2026-01-13 JPMorgan Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $96.46 +1.0% +14.9% +25.8% +28.2% $98 missed
2026-01-12 Wells Fargo Equal-Weight → Overweight upgrade Bullish $95.50 -0.0% +16.4% +27.6% +29.4% $132 close
2026-01-08 Piper Sandler Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $98.72 +5.7% +10.1% +18.6% +26.8% $109 hit
2026-01-05 Bernstein Outperform → Outperform maintained Bullish $99.20 +5.9% +8.5% +18.0% +32.7% $98 missed
2025-12-12 UBS Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $95.54 +7.3% -0.0% +12.5% +25.9% $120 hit
2025-12-12 Mizuho Outperform → Outperform maintained Bullish $95.54 +7.3% -0.0% +12.5% +25.9% $121 hit
2025-12-05 Johnson Rice Accumulate → Hold downgrade Bearish · cut to Hold $93.69 +6.8% +5.9% +12.0% +24.7% $105 hit
2025-11-12 UBS Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $89.07 +0.3% +7.3% +7.2% +20.7% $117 close
2025-10-20 Susquehanna Positive → Positive maintained Bullish $87.06 -5.3% +1.1% +5.6% +9.7% $110 missed
2025-10-17 Wells Fargo Equal-Weight initiated Leans bullish · Equal-Weight, target +15% $86.48 -7.8% +2.6% +5.0% +14.4% $100 hit
2025-10-14 Morgan Stanley Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $88.17 +1.4% +7.0% +8.3% $122 missed
2025-10-13 RBC Capital Outperform → Outperform maintained Bullish $88.78 +0.3% +7.6% +7.6% $118 missed
2025-10-07 Barclays Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $95.23 -10.1% -2.5% +4.2% $118 missed
2025-10-06 Evercore ISI Group Outperform → Outperform maintained Bullish $94.91 -7.6% -1.3% +4.5% $111 missed
2025-09-15 Mizuho Outperform → Outperform maintained Bullish $92.33 -5.0% -1.0% +2.2% $120 missed

Also in Oil & Gas Majors

XOMCVXOXYEOGOil & Gas Majors vs XLE →

Interactive version with the price chart and target overlay: Scorecard tab on the dashboard. All covered names: index.

How the grading works

Every sell-side rating change from the last 365 days is priced the day it lands and checked again 30, 60 and 90 days later. A call is a hit when the stock moved in the called direction at 30 days. Buy- and Sell-side ratings call their own direction. A Hold is read, not waved through: a downgrade to Hold is graded as a bearish call and an upgrade to Hold as a bullish one, and a maintained Hold whose price target sits 10%+ above the price leans bullish (10%+ below, leans bearish) and is graded that way. A Hold with a target close to the price is a true Hold and is not graded at all. Every call with a price target also gets a target check 90 days later: hit (reached it or within 5%), close (covered at least half the distance) or missed. A firm's accuracy on a single name prints only after 4 scored calls, and a firm gets its own page only after 10 scored calls across every covered name — below that a percentage is noise. "Run before the call" is the stock's move over the 30 calendar days before the rating landed. Data: Yahoo Finance rating history and daily closes, rebuilt each morning. Nothing on this page is advice.

Get the 7 AM brief

The AM take, today's docket and the Street's calls — one email, weekdays, before the open.