USB analyst scorecard · U.S. Bancorp
63 rating changes on USB in the last 12 months. 52% of bullish calls were right at 30 days; 40% of bearish ones. Street grade C on 47 scored calls. Consensus target $70, 12% above the last close.
Graded through 2026-09-14 · last close $62.62 (2026-09-14). Rebuilt every morning.
Street grade
C 51.1%
Rating changes, 12 mo
63
Bullish calls right at 30d
52.4% of 42
Bearish calls right at 30d
40.0% of 5
Consensus target
$70 +12.3%
Firms covering
21
Price targets hit (90d)
41.5% of 41
Holds on USB, read: 2 cut to or raised to Hold (graded as the change) · 5 Holds whose target leaned 10%+ one way (graded that way, 40.0% right) · 15 true Holds, not graded.
The chase: the 4 upgrades on USB landed after an average +7.8% run in the prior 30 days, and the stock averaged -4.5% in the 90 days after.
Firm by firm
| Firm | Calls | Scored | Right | Accuracy | Grade | Avg 30d | Avg 90d | Latest | Date | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RBC Capital | 6 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% | A | +2.5% | +7.0% | Outperform | 2026-08-24 | $68 |
| Oppenheimer | 8 | 8 | 5 | 62.5% | B | +3.4% | +14.2% | Outperform | 2026-07-17 | $77 |
| Truist Securities | 8 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | C | -1.5% | +5.3% | Buy | 2026-07-17 | $69 |
| DA Davidson | 4 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | C | +0.5% | +11.0% | Buy | 2026-07-17 | $74 |
| JPMorgan | 6 | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | D | -2.5% | +6.0% | Neutral | 2026-07-29 | $69 |
| Jefferies | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | +5.3% | +16.5% | Buy | 2026-07-06 | $75 |
| Morgan Stanley | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | +5.7% | +17.8% | Equal-Weight | 2026-06-29 | $67 |
| Wells Fargo | 3 | 3 | 2 | — | — | +1.5% | +18.1% | Overweight | 2026-07-17 | $69 |
| Barclays | 3 | 3 | 2 | — | — | +1.2% | +4.4% | Overweight | 2026-07-17 | $75 |
| TD Cowen | 3 | 3 | 2 | — | — | +5.2% | +5.3% | Buy | 2026-01-21 | $66 |
| Evercore ISI Group | 6 | 3 | 0 | — | — | -1.7% | +10.0% | Outperform | 2026-07-20 | $72 |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | 3 | 0 | 0 | — | — | +3.2% | -0.8% | Market Perform | 2026-07-17 | $66 |
| UBS | 2 | 0 | 0 | — | — | +0.0% | +16.8% | Neutral | 2026-07-07 | $66 |
| Citigroup | 2 | 2 | 0 | — | — | -3.5% | +12.5% | Buy | 2025-10-17 | $70 |
| Stephens & Co. | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | +2.7% | — | Equal-Weight | 2026-07-17 | $67 |
| Baird | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | +2.7% | — | Neutral | 2026-07-17 | $68 |
| Argus Research | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -0.7% | +0.8% | Buy | 2026-01-22 | $63 |
| Wolfe Research | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | +10.6% | -2.1% | Peer Perform | 2026-01-07 | — |
| Bank of America | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -0.5% | +18.1% | Buy | 2025-10-17 | $55 |
Dimmed rows have fewer than 4 scored calls on USB — too few to grade.
Every call, last 12 months
| Date | Firm | Change | Action | Graded as | Price at call | Run before | +30d | +60d | +90d | Target · 90d check | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | RBC Capital | Outperform → Outperform | reiterated | Bullish | $62.42 | -2.4% | — | — | — | $68 | pending |
| 2026-07-29 | JPMorgan | Neutral → Neutral | maintained | True hold · target +9% | $62.82 | +2.5% | -0.6% | — | — | $69 | not graded |
| 2026-07-20 | Evercore ISI Group | In-Line → Outperform | upgrade | Bullish | $63.14 | +8.6% | -0.5% | — | — | $72 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-20 | JPMorgan | Underweight → Neutral | upgrade | Bullish · raised to Neutral | $63.14 | +8.6% | -0.5% | — | — | $68 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-17 | Oppenheimer | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $63.14 | +9.0% | +2.7% | — | — | $77 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-17 | Stephens & Co. | Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight | maintained | True hold · target +6% | $63.14 | +9.0% | +2.7% | — | — | $67 | not graded |
| 2026-07-17 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Market Perform → Market Perform | maintained | True hold · target +4% | $63.14 | +9.0% | +2.7% | — | — | $66 | not graded |
| 2026-07-17 | Wells Fargo | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $63.14 | +9.0% | +2.7% | — | — | $69 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-17 | DA Davidson | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $63.14 | +9.0% | +2.7% | — | — | $74 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-17 | Truist Securities | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $63.14 | +9.0% | +2.7% | — | — | $69 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-17 | RBC Capital | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $63.14 | +9.0% | +2.7% | — | — | $68 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-17 | Barclays | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $63.14 | +9.0% | +2.7% | — | — | $75 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-17 | Baird | Neutral → Neutral | maintained | True hold · target +7% | $63.14 | +9.0% | +2.7% | — | — | $68 | not graded |
| 2026-07-07 | UBS | Neutral → Neutral | maintained | True hold · target +4% | $62.89 | +12.9% | +1.5% | -0.6% | — | $66 | not graded |
| 2026-07-06 | Evercore ISI Group | In-Line → In-Line | maintained | True hold · target +3% | $62.83 | +12.8% | +2.2% | +0.9% | — | $65 | not graded |
| 2026-07-06 | JPMorgan | Underweight → Underweight | maintained | Bearish | $62.83 | +12.8% | +2.2% | +0.9% | — | $65 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-06 | Wells Fargo | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $62.83 | +12.8% | +2.2% | +0.9% | — | $66 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-06 | Jefferies | Hold → Buy | upgrade | Bullish | $62.83 | +12.8% | +2.2% | +0.9% | — | $75 | ✓ |
| 2026-06-30 | Oppenheimer | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $60.40 | +10.1% | +4.1% | +1.9% | — | $73 | ✓ |
| 2026-06-29 | Morgan Stanley | Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight | maintained | True hold · target +9% | $61.28 | +11.7% | +2.5% | +1.9% | — | $67 | not graded |
| 2026-06-26 | Truist Securities | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $60.91 | +11.4% | +4.2% | +2.5% | — | $66 | ✓ |
| 2026-04-30 | JPMorgan | Underweight → Underweight | maintained | Bearish | $56.66 | +8.9% | -5.5% | +8.2% | +10.9% | $58 missed | ✓ |
| 2026-04-29 | Oppenheimer | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $56.17 | +10.4% | -2.4% | +9.1% | +14.7% | $74 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-04-29 | Evercore ISI Group | In-Line → In-Line | maintained | True hold · target +6% | $56.17 | +10.4% | -2.4% | +9.1% | +14.7% | $60 hit | not graded |
| 2026-04-17 | Oppenheimer | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $56.93 | +10.9% | -6.1% | +3.4% | +12.4% | $73 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-04-17 | Barclays | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $56.93 | +10.9% | -6.1% | +3.4% | +12.4% | $67 hit | ✗ |
| 2026-04-17 | RBC Capital | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $56.93 | +10.9% | -6.1% | +3.4% | +12.4% | $61 hit | ✗ |
| 2026-04-17 | DA Davidson | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $56.93 | +10.9% | -6.1% | +3.4% | +12.4% | $65 hit | ✗ |
| 2026-04-17 | Truist Securities | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $56.93 | +10.9% | -6.1% | +3.4% | +12.4% | $62 hit | ✗ |
| 2026-04-07 | JPMorgan | Underweight → Underweight | maintained | Bearish | $53.70 | +2.5% | +3.0% | +3.1% | +17.0% | $58 hit | ✗ |
| 2026-04-06 | Evercore ISI Group | In-Line → In-Line | maintained | True hold · target +8% | $53.44 | +2.0% | +5.1% | +4.2% | +17.6% | $58 hit | not graded |
| 2026-03-31 | Morgan Stanley | Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight | maintained | Leans bullish · Equal-Weight, target +25% | $52.01 | -4.8% | +8.9% | +3.0% | +17.8% | $65 close | ✓ |
| 2026-03-27 | Oppenheimer | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $50.85 | -9.3% | +10.1% | +8.6% | +20.4% | $71 close | ✓ |
| 2026-03-26 | Jefferies | Hold | initiated | True hold · target +6% | $51.59 | -6.2% | +8.5% | +7.0% | +16.5% | $55 hit | not graded |
| 2026-03-26 | RBC Capital | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $51.59 | -6.2% | +8.5% | +7.0% | +16.5% | $59 hit | ✓ |
| 2026-02-26 | Truist Securities | Hold → Buy | upgrade | Bullish | $57.26 | +1.3% | -11.1% | -2.2% | -4.5% | $66 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-02-09 | JPMorgan | Underweight → Underweight | maintained | Bearish | $60.35 | +9.3% | -13.4% | -7.8% | -9.7% | $62 missed | ✓ |
| 2026-02-05 | Evercore ISI Group | In-Line → In-Line | maintained | Leans bullish · In-Line, target +10% | $59.11 | +5.4% | -11.8% | -9.6% | -5.0% | $65 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-01-22 | Argus Research | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $56.18 | +3.1% | -0.7% | -8.3% | +0.8% | $63 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-01-21 | TD Cowen | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $55.47 | +1.1% | +5.8% | -7.1% | +2.5% | $66 missed | ✓ |
| 2026-01-21 | Oppenheimer | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $55.47 | +1.1% | +5.8% | -7.1% | +2.5% | $77 missed | ✓ |
| 2026-01-21 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Market Perform → Market Perform | maintained | True hold · target +6% | $55.47 | +1.1% | +5.8% | -7.1% | +2.5% | $59 hit | not graded |
| 2026-01-21 | Truist Securities | Hold → Hold | maintained | Leans bullish · Hold, target +10% | $55.47 | +1.1% | +5.8% | -7.1% | +2.5% | $61 missed | ✓ |
| 2026-01-21 | DA Davidson | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $55.47 | +1.1% | +5.8% | -7.1% | +2.5% | $65 missed | ✓ |
| 2026-01-21 | RBC Capital | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $55.47 | +1.1% | +5.8% | -7.1% | +2.5% | $59 hit | ✓ |
| 2026-01-07 | TD Cowen | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $54.87 | +6.7% | +10.6% | -5.0% | -2.1% | $65 missed | ✓ |
| 2026-01-07 | Wolfe Research | Outperform → Peer Perform | downgrade | Bearish · cut to Peer Perform | $54.87 | +6.7% | +10.6% | -5.0% | -2.1% | — | ✗ |
| 2026-01-05 | Barclays | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $55.49 | +8.2% | +7.1% | -5.6% | -3.7% | $65 missed | ✓ |
| 2025-12-18 | Truist Securities | Hold → Hold | maintained | True hold · target +7% | $53.87 | +17.3% | +0.9% | +8.0% | -4.7% | $58 missed | not graded |
| 2025-12-17 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Market Perform → Market Perform | maintained | True hold · target +7% | $53.74 | +18.2% | +1.2% | +8.2% | -4.0% | $58 missed | not graded |
| 2025-12-12 | RBC Capital | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $53.42 | +11.6% | +1.8% | +13.3% | -3.6% | $57 missed | ✓ |
| 2025-11-19 | Oppenheimer | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $46.80 | -0.6% | +15.7% | +16.2% | +24.3% | $64 close | ✓ |
| 2025-10-20 | TD Cowen | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $47.10 | -6.6% | -0.6% | +15.0% | +15.5% | $60 close | ✗ |
| 2025-10-17 | DA Davidson | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $45.69 | -7.9% | -0.5% | +17.0% | +18.1% | $59 close | ✗ |
| 2025-10-17 | Citigroup | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $45.69 | -7.9% | -0.5% | +17.0% | +18.1% | $70 missed | ✗ |
| 2025-10-17 | Truist Securities | Hold → Hold | maintained | Leans bullish · Hold, target +13% | $45.69 | -7.9% | -0.5% | +17.0% | +18.1% | $52 hit | ✗ |
| 2025-10-17 | Wells Fargo | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $45.69 | -7.9% | -0.5% | +17.0% | +18.1% | $52 hit | ✗ |
| 2025-10-17 | Bank of America | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $45.69 | -7.9% | -0.5% | +17.0% | +18.1% | $55 hit | ✗ |
| 2025-10-07 | UBS | Neutral → Neutral | maintained | True hold · target +5% | $47.50 | — | -1.4% | +8.2% | +16.8% | $50 hit | not graded |
| 2025-09-30 | Evercore ISI Group | In-Line → In-Line | maintained | Leans bullish · In-Line, target +11% | $48.33 | — | -3.1% | +2.2% | +12.8% | $54 hit | ✗ |
| 2025-09-23 | Oppenheimer | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $49.35 | — | -3.1% | -3.2% | +11.2% | $66 missed | ✗ |
| 2025-09-19 | Citigroup | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $50.41 | — | -6.6% | -8.9% | +6.9% | $65 missed | ✗ |
| 2025-09-17 | Truist Securities | Hold → Hold | maintained | True hold · target +2% | $49.61 | — | -7.9% | -8.3% | +7.8% | $51 hit | not graded |
Also in Regional Banks
Interactive version with the price chart and target overlay: Scorecard tab on the dashboard. All covered names: index.
How the grading works
Every sell-side rating change from the last 365 days is priced the day it lands and checked again 30, 60 and 90 days later. A call is a hit when the stock moved in the called direction at 30 days. Buy- and Sell-side ratings call their own direction. A Hold is read, not waved through: a downgrade to Hold is graded as a bearish call and an upgrade to Hold as a bullish one, and a maintained Hold whose price target sits 10%+ above the price leans bullish (10%+ below, leans bearish) and is graded that way. A Hold with a target close to the price is a true Hold and is not graded at all. Every call with a price target also gets a target check 90 days later: hit (reached it or within 5%), close (covered at least half the distance) or missed. A firm's accuracy on a single name prints only after 4 scored calls, and a firm gets its own page only after 10 scored calls across every covered name — below that a percentage is noise. "Run before the call" is the stock's move over the 30 calendar days before the rating landed. Data: Yahoo Finance rating history and daily closes, rebuilt each morning. Nothing on this page is advice.
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