VST analyst scorecard · Vistra Corp.
29 rating changes on VST in the last 12 months. 8% of bullish calls were right at 30 days. Street grade F on 26 scored calls. Consensus target $217, 53% above the last close.
Graded through 2026-09-14 · last close $141.94 (2026-09-14). Rebuilt every morning.
Holds on VST, read: 1 cut to or raised to Hold (graded as the change) · 0 Holds whose target leaned 10%+ one way (graded that way) · 0 true Holds, not graded.
Firm by firm
| Firm | Calls | Scored | Right | Accuracy | Grade | Avg 30d | Avg 90d | Latest | Date | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JPMorgan | 4 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | F | -0.8% | -10.3% | Overweight | 2026-04-30 | $231 |
| BMO Capital | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0.0% | F | -10.1% | -15.6% | Outperform | 2026-01-12 | $244 |
| Jefferies | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | -3.1% | -12.8% | Buy | 2026-02-10 | $203 |
| Wells Fargo | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | — | -3.8% | -7.6% | Overweight | 2026-02-27 | $234 |
| Morgan Stanley | 3 | 2 | 0 | — | — | -3.5% | -19.7% | Overweight | 2026-08-21 | $227 |
| TD Cowen | 3 | 2 | 0 | — | — | -7.6% | -3.0% | Buy | 2026-08-19 | $221 |
| Scotiabank | 3 | 3 | 0 | — | — | -9.8% | -17.1% | Sector Outperform | 2026-07-15 | $298 |
| UBS | 2 | 2 | 0 | — | — | -6.6% | -8.3% | Buy | 2026-07-28 | $227 |
| Mizuho | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | Outperform | 2026-08-24 | $169 |
| Bank of America | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -7.2% | -8.3% | Buy | 2026-01-12 | $218 |
| KeyBanc | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -5.4% | -1.8% | Overweight | 2025-11-25 | $217 |
| Evercore ISI Group | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -13.0% | -25.1% | Outperform | 2025-11-07 | $243 |
| Seaport Global | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -7.5% | -17.9% | Buy | 2025-10-08 | $242 |
Dimmed rows have fewer than 4 scored calls on VST — too few to grade.
Every call, last 12 months
| Date | Firm | Change | Action | Graded as | Price at call | Run before | +30d | +60d | +90d | Target · 90d check | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Mizuho | Outperform | initiated | Bullish | $135.66 | -17.0% | — | — | — | $169 | pending |
| 2026-08-21 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $136.21 | -18.3% | — | — | — | $227 | pending |
| 2026-08-19 | TD Cowen | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $142.70 | -9.7% | — | — | — | $221 | pending |
| 2026-07-28 | UBS | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $148.64 | -9.1% | -5.9% | — | — | $227 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-28 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $148.64 | -9.1% | -5.9% | — | — | $212 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-27 | TD Cowen | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $157.08 | -3.9% | -10.8% | — | — | $222 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-15 | Scotiabank | Sector Outperform → Sector Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $160.23 | +4.4% | -7.5% | -11.4% | — | $298 | ✗ |
| 2026-05-04 | TD Cowen | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $160.85 | +6.4% | -4.4% | -2.3% | -3.0% | $230 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-04-30 | JPMorgan | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $157.84 | +5.0% | -1.9% | +2.9% | -9.5% | $231 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-03-19 | JPMorgan | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $167.37 | -3.6% | -4.6% | -18.3% | -5.1% | $240 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-02-27 | Wells Fargo | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $173.89 | +5.0% | -15.2% | -7.3% | -7.8% | $234 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-02-10 | Jefferies | Hold → Buy | upgrade | Bullish | $159.60 | -4.1% | -0.0% | -0.9% | -4.7% | $203 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-01-20 | Wells Fargo | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $156.81 | -3.8% | +10.0% | -3.5% | +1.8% | $236 missed | ✓ |
| 2026-01-12 | UBS | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $172.58 | +1.5% | -7.2% | -7.9% | -8.3% | $233 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-01-12 | Scotiabank | Sector Outperform → Sector Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $172.58 | +1.5% | -7.2% | -7.9% | -8.3% | $293 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-01-12 | Bank of America | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $172.58 | +1.5% | -7.2% | -7.9% | -8.3% | $218 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-01-12 | BMO Capital | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $172.58 | +1.5% | -7.2% | -7.9% | -8.3% | $244 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-01-06 | BMO Capital | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $169.53 | +1.4% | -15.6% | -3.5% | -10.6% | $230 missed | ✗ |
| 2025-12-16 | JPMorgan | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $173.45 | -0.7% | +3.9% | +0.1% | -6.6% | $233 missed | ✓ |
| 2025-11-25 | KeyBanc | Overweight | initiated | Bullish | $170.84 | -15.2% | -5.4% | -7.0% | -1.8% | $217 missed | ✗ |
| 2025-11-07 | Evercore ISI Group | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $191.00 | -7.5% | -13.0% | -11.2% | -25.1% | $243 missed | ✗ |
| 2025-11-07 | BMO Capital | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $191.00 | -7.5% | -13.0% | -11.2% | -25.1% | $245 missed | ✗ |
| 2025-10-28 | Wells Fargo | Overweight | initiated | Bullish | $190.59 | -8.0% | -6.2% | -15.1% | -16.7% | $238 missed | ✗ |
| 2025-10-08 | Seaport Global | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $206.55 | — | -7.5% | -19.6% | -17.9% | $242 missed | ✗ |
| 2025-10-03 | BMO Capital | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $201.99 | — | -4.4% | -14.6% | -18.2% | $236 missed | ✗ |
| 2025-09-25 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $201.62 | — | -1.1% | -13.1% | -19.7% | $223 missed | ✗ |
| 2025-09-24 | JPMorgan | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $202.06 | — | -0.3% | -13.3% | -20.0% | $248 missed | ✗ |
| 2025-09-23 | Jefferies | Buy → Hold | downgrade | Bearish · cut to Hold | $204.24 | — | -6.3% | -14.2% | -20.9% | $230 missed | ✓ |
| 2025-09-22 | Scotiabank | Sector Outperform | initiated | Bullish | $217.92 | — | -14.7% | -22.6% | -25.9% | $256 missed | ✗ |
Also in Power & Grid
Interactive version with the price chart and target overlay: Scorecard tab on the dashboard. All covered names: index.
How the grading works
Every sell-side rating change from the last 365 days is priced the day it lands and checked again 30, 60 and 90 days later. A call is a hit when the stock moved in the called direction at 30 days. Buy- and Sell-side ratings call their own direction. A Hold is read, not waved through: a downgrade to Hold is graded as a bearish call and an upgrade to Hold as a bullish one, and a maintained Hold whose price target sits 10%+ above the price leans bullish (10%+ below, leans bearish) and is graded that way. A Hold with a target close to the price is a true Hold and is not graded at all. Every call with a price target also gets a target check 90 days later: hit (reached it or within 5%), close (covered at least half the distance) or missed. A firm's accuracy on a single name prints only after 4 scored calls, and a firm gets its own page only after 10 scored calls across every covered name — below that a percentage is noise. "Run before the call" is the stock's move over the 30 calendar days before the rating landed. Data: Yahoo Finance rating history and daily closes, rebuilt each morning. Nothing on this page is advice.
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