ScorecardPower & Grid (who's right about power & grid) › VST

VST analyst scorecard · Vistra Corp.

29 rating changes on VST in the last 12 months. 8% of bullish calls were right at 30 days. Street grade F on 26 scored calls. Consensus target $217, 53% above the last close.

Graded through 2026-09-14 · last close $141.94 (2026-09-14). Rebuilt every morning.

Street grade
F 11.5%
Rating changes, 12 mo
29
Bullish calls right at 30d
8.0% of 25
Bearish calls right at 30d
Consensus target
$217 +53.2%
Firms covering
19
Price targets hit (90d)
0.0% of 22

Holds on VST, read: 1 cut to or raised to Hold (graded as the change) · 0 Holds whose target leaned 10%+ one way (graded that way) · 0 true Holds, not graded.

Firm by firm

FirmCallsScoredRightAccuracyGradeAvg 30dAvg 90dLatestDateTarget
JPMorgan 441 25.0% F -0.8% -10.3% Overweight2026-04-30 $231
BMO Capital 440 0.0% F -10.1% -15.6% Outperform2026-01-12 $244
Jefferies 221 -3.1% -12.8% Buy2026-02-10 $203
Wells Fargo 331 -3.8% -7.6% Overweight2026-02-27 $234
Morgan Stanley 320 -3.5% -19.7% Overweight2026-08-21 $227
TD Cowen 320 -7.6% -3.0% Buy2026-08-19 $221
Scotiabank 330 -9.8% -17.1% Sector Outperform2026-07-15 $298
UBS 220 -6.6% -8.3% Buy2026-07-28 $227
Mizuho 100 Outperform2026-08-24 $169
Bank of America 110 -7.2% -8.3% Buy2026-01-12 $218
KeyBanc 110 -5.4% -1.8% Overweight2025-11-25 $217
Evercore ISI Group 110 -13.0% -25.1% Outperform2025-11-07 $243
Seaport Global 110 -7.5% -17.9% Buy2025-10-08 $242

Dimmed rows have fewer than 4 scored calls on VST — too few to grade.

Every call, last 12 months

DateFirmChangeActionGraded asPrice at callRun before+30d+60d+90dTarget · 90d checkHit
2026-08-24 Mizuho Outperform initiated Bullish $135.66 -17.0% $169 pending
2026-08-21 Morgan Stanley Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $136.21 -18.3% $227 pending
2026-08-19 TD Cowen Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $142.70 -9.7% $221 pending
2026-07-28 UBS Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $148.64 -9.1% -5.9% $227
2026-07-28 Morgan Stanley Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $148.64 -9.1% -5.9% $212
2026-07-27 TD Cowen Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $157.08 -3.9% -10.8% $222
2026-07-15 Scotiabank Sector Outperform → Sector Outperform maintained Bullish $160.23 +4.4% -7.5% -11.4% $298
2026-05-04 TD Cowen Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $160.85 +6.4% -4.4% -2.3% -3.0% $230 missed
2026-04-30 JPMorgan Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $157.84 +5.0% -1.9% +2.9% -9.5% $231 missed
2026-03-19 JPMorgan Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $167.37 -3.6% -4.6% -18.3% -5.1% $240 missed
2026-02-27 Wells Fargo Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $173.89 +5.0% -15.2% -7.3% -7.8% $234 missed
2026-02-10 Jefferies Hold → Buy upgrade Bullish $159.60 -4.1% -0.0% -0.9% -4.7% $203 missed
2026-01-20 Wells Fargo Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $156.81 -3.8% +10.0% -3.5% +1.8% $236 missed
2026-01-12 UBS Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $172.58 +1.5% -7.2% -7.9% -8.3% $233 missed
2026-01-12 Scotiabank Sector Outperform → Sector Outperform maintained Bullish $172.58 +1.5% -7.2% -7.9% -8.3% $293 missed
2026-01-12 Bank of America Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $172.58 +1.5% -7.2% -7.9% -8.3% $218 missed
2026-01-12 BMO Capital Outperform → Outperform maintained Bullish $172.58 +1.5% -7.2% -7.9% -8.3% $244 missed
2026-01-06 BMO Capital Outperform → Outperform maintained Bullish $169.53 +1.4% -15.6% -3.5% -10.6% $230 missed
2025-12-16 JPMorgan Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $173.45 -0.7% +3.9% +0.1% -6.6% $233 missed
2025-11-25 KeyBanc Overweight initiated Bullish $170.84 -15.2% -5.4% -7.0% -1.8% $217 missed
2025-11-07 Evercore ISI Group Outperform → Outperform maintained Bullish $191.00 -7.5% -13.0% -11.2% -25.1% $243 missed
2025-11-07 BMO Capital Outperform → Outperform maintained Bullish $191.00 -7.5% -13.0% -11.2% -25.1% $245 missed
2025-10-28 Wells Fargo Overweight initiated Bullish $190.59 -8.0% -6.2% -15.1% -16.7% $238 missed
2025-10-08 Seaport Global Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $206.55 -7.5% -19.6% -17.9% $242 missed
2025-10-03 BMO Capital Outperform → Outperform maintained Bullish $201.99 -4.4% -14.6% -18.2% $236 missed
2025-09-25 Morgan Stanley Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $201.62 -1.1% -13.1% -19.7% $223 missed
2025-09-24 JPMorgan Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $202.06 -0.3% -13.3% -20.0% $248 missed
2025-09-23 Jefferies Buy → Hold downgrade Bearish · cut to Hold $204.24 -6.3% -14.2% -20.9% $230 missed
2025-09-22 Scotiabank Sector Outperform initiated Bullish $217.92 -14.7% -22.6% -25.9% $256 missed

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Interactive version with the price chart and target overlay: Scorecard tab on the dashboard. All covered names: index.

How the grading works

Every sell-side rating change from the last 365 days is priced the day it lands and checked again 30, 60 and 90 days later. A call is a hit when the stock moved in the called direction at 30 days. Buy- and Sell-side ratings call their own direction. A Hold is read, not waved through: a downgrade to Hold is graded as a bearish call and an upgrade to Hold as a bullish one, and a maintained Hold whose price target sits 10%+ above the price leans bullish (10%+ below, leans bearish) and is graded that way. A Hold with a target close to the price is a true Hold and is not graded at all. Every call with a price target also gets a target check 90 days later: hit (reached it or within 5%), close (covered at least half the distance) or missed. A firm's accuracy on a single name prints only after 4 scored calls, and a firm gets its own page only after 10 scored calls across every covered name — below that a percentage is noise. "Run before the call" is the stock's move over the 30 calendar days before the rating landed. Data: Yahoo Finance rating history and daily closes, rebuilt each morning. Nothing on this page is advice.

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