ASTS analyst scorecard
21 rating changes on ASTS in the last 12 months. 73% of bullish calls were right at 30 days; 86% of bearish ones. The Street was right 78% of the time on 18 scored calls (95% interval 55–91%), grade A. Consensus target $80, 39% above the last close.
Graded through 2026-10-01 · last close $57.18 (2026-10-01). Rebuilt every morning.
Holds on ASTS, read: 4 cut to or raised to Hold (graded as the change, 100.0% right) · 3 Holds whose target leaned 10%+ one way (graded that way) · 2 true Holds, not graded.
Firm by firm
| Firm | Calls | Scored | Right | Accuracy | Targets hit | Avg 30d | Avg 90d | Latest | Date | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Riley Securities | 5 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% | 25.0% of 4 | +6.0% | +11.5% | Buy | 2026-07-17 | $85 |
| Scotiabank | 4 | 4 | 3 | 75.0% | — | +11.3% | +26.9% | Sector Perform | 2026-07-29 | $51 |
| UBS | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | — | +2.6% | +3.5% | Neutral | 2026-08-11 | $78 |
| Barclays | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | — | -0.4% | +11.4% | Underweight | 2026-04-09 | $65 |
| Deutsche Bank | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | -23.5% | -45.8% | Hold | 2026-05-29 | $106 |
| Clear Street | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | +18.9% | +49.3% | Buy | 2025-11-12 | $87 |
| Piper Sandler | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | +6.5% | — | Overweight | 2026-08-11 | $98 |
| Berenberg | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | Buy | 2026-09-02 | $92 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -16.4% | — | Overweight | 2026-08-11 | $90 |
Dimmed rows have fewer than 4 scored calls on ASTS — too few to grade. No firm gets a letter on a single name: the samples are far too small to separate skill from a coin flip. Why →
Every call, last 12 months
| Date | Firm | Change | Action | Graded as | Price at call | Run before | +30d | +60d | +90d | Target · 90d check | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Berenberg | Buy | initiated | Bullish | $62.40 | -1.8% | — | — | — | $92 | pending |
| 2026-08-11 | UBS | Neutral → Neutral | maintained | True hold · target +8% | $71.63 | -2.3% | -16.4% | — | — | $78 | not graded |
| 2026-08-11 | Piper Sandler | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $71.63 | -2.3% | -16.4% | — | — | $98 | ✗ |
| 2026-08-11 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $71.63 | -2.3% | -16.4% | — | — | $90 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-29 | Scotiabank | Sector Underperform → Sector Perform | upgrade | Bullish · raised to Sector Perform | $53.03 | -38.9% | +9.5% | +15.0% | — | $51 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-17 | B. Riley Securities | Neutral → Buy | upgrade | Bullish | $57.80 | -32.3% | +23.1% | +1.7% | — | $85 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-16 | Piper Sandler | Overweight | initiated | Bullish | $55.01 | -33.1% | +29.3% | +9.1% | — | $100 | ✓ |
| 2026-05-29 | Deutsche Bank | Buy → Hold | downgrade | Bearish · cut to Hold | $113.41 | +62.4% | -23.5% | -50.1% | -45.8% | $106 hit | ✓ |
| 2026-05-12 | UBS | Neutral → Neutral | maintained | True hold · target +9% | $72.96 | -23.1% | +33.7% | -7.4% | -5.8% | $80 missed | not graded |
| 2026-05-12 | B. Riley Securities | Neutral → Neutral | maintained | Leans bullish · Neutral, target +16% | $72.96 | -23.1% | +33.7% | -7.4% | -5.8% | $85 missed | ✓ |
| 2026-04-09 | Barclays | Underweight → Underweight | maintained | Bearish | $91.61 | +4.7% | -9.9% | +0.5% | -18.2% | $65 close | ✓ |
| 2026-03-04 | UBS | Neutral → Neutral | maintained | Leans bearish · Neutral, target -19% | $104.89 | +0.3% | -9.6% | -34.8% | +12.7% | $85 missed | ✓ |
| 2026-02-13 | B. Riley Securities | Neutral → Neutral | maintained | Leans bullish · Neutral, target +15% | $82.51 | -13.3% | +8.0% | +7.3% | +0.6% | $95 missed | ✓ |
| 2026-01-13 | B. Riley Securities | Buy → Neutral | downgrade | Bearish · cut to Neutral | $92.72 | +20.9% | -11.3% | -3.9% | +6.7% | $105 close | ✓ |
| 2026-01-07 | Scotiabank | Sector Perform → Sector Underperform | downgrade | Bearish | $85.73 | +15.8% | +18.7% | +4.7% | +8.0% | $46 missed | ✗ |
| 2025-11-25 | Scotiabank | Sector Underperform → Sector Perform | upgrade | Bullish · raised to Sector Perform | $55.51 | -24.7% | +29.6% | +88.8% | +51.1% | $46 missed | ✓ |
| 2025-11-12 | Clear Street | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $64.49 | -28.7% | +18.9% | +52.6% | +49.3% | $87 hit | ✓ |
| 2025-10-23 | B. Riley Securities | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $71.72 | — | -23.3% | +20.6% | +44.3% | $95 hit | ✗ |
| 2025-10-17 | Barclays | Overweight → Underweight | downgrade | Bearish | $83.49 | — | -32.2% | -18.1% | +21.3% | $60 missed | ✓ |
| 2025-10-07 | Scotiabank | Sector Perform → Sector Underperform | downgrade | Bearish | $74.75 | — | -12.7% | -1.0% | +21.6% | $43 missed | ✓ |
| 2025-10-01 | Barclays | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $56.94 | — | +40.9% | -7.6% | +31.2% | $60 hit | ✓ |
Also in Space
Interactive version with the price chart and target overlay: Scorecard tab on the dashboard. All covered names: index.
How the grading works
Every sell-side rating change from the last 365 days is priced the day it lands and checked again 30, 60 and 90 days later. A call is a hit when the stock moved in the called direction at 30 days. Buy- and Sell-side ratings call their own direction. A Hold is read, not waved through: a downgrade to Hold is graded as a bearish call and an upgrade to Hold as a bullish one, and a maintained Hold whose price target sits 10%+ above the price leans bullish (10%+ below, leans bearish) and is graded that way. A Hold with a target close to the price is a true Hold and is not graded at all. Every call with a price target also gets a target check 90 days later: hit (reached it or within 5%), close (covered at least half the distance) or missed. A firm's accuracy on a single name prints only after 4 scored calls, and a firm gets its own page only after 10 scored calls across every covered name — below that a percentage is noise. Letter grades print only where a record differs from a coin flip at two sigma; tested across the whole book on 2026-09-21, firm direction accuracy is sampling noise at these call counts, so the firm leaderboard ranks on 90-day price-target hit rate instead (the test, in full). "Run before the call" is the stock's move over the 30 calendar days before the rating landed. Data: Yahoo Finance rating history and daily closes, rebuilt each morning. Nothing on this page is advice.
Get the 7 AM brief
The AM take, today's docket and the Street's calls — one email, weekdays, before the open.