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ASTS analyst scorecard

21 rating changes on ASTS in the last 12 months. 73% of bullish calls were right at 30 days; 86% of bearish ones. The Street was right 78% of the time on 18 scored calls (95% interval 55–91%), grade A. Consensus target $80, 39% above the last close.

Graded through 2026-10-01 · last close $57.18 (2026-10-01). Rebuilt every morning.

Street timing, 30d
77.8% A 55–91
Rating changes, 12 mo
21
Bullish calls right at 30d
72.7% of 11
Bearish calls right at 30d
85.7% of 7
Consensus target
$80 +39.2%
Firms covering
12
Price targets hit (90d)
28.6% of 14

Holds on ASTS, read: 4 cut to or raised to Hold (graded as the change, 100.0% right) · 3 Holds whose target leaned 10%+ one way (graded that way) · 2 true Holds, not graded.

Buying the dip: the 3 upgrades on ASTS arrived after an average -32.0% move in the prior 30 days; the stock averaged +51.1% over the next 90.

Firm by firm

FirmCallsScoredRightAccuracyTargets hitAvg 30dAvg 90dLatestDateTarget
B. Riley Securities 554 80.0% 25.0% of 4 +6.0% +11.5% Buy2026-07-17 $85
Scotiabank 443 75.0% — +11.3% +26.9% Sector Perform2026-07-29 $51
UBS 311 — — +2.6% +3.5% Neutral2026-08-11 $78
Barclays 333 — — -0.4% +11.4% Underweight2026-04-09 $65
Deutsche Bank 111 — — -23.5% -45.8% Hold2026-05-29 $106
Clear Street 111 — — +18.9% +49.3% Buy2025-11-12 $87
Piper Sandler 221 — — +6.5% — Overweight2026-08-11 $98
Berenberg 100 — — — — Buy2026-09-02 $92
Cantor Fitzgerald 110 — — -16.4% — Overweight2026-08-11 $90

Dimmed rows have fewer than 4 scored calls on ASTS — too few to grade. No firm gets a letter on a single name: the samples are far too small to separate skill from a coin flip. Why →

Every call, last 12 months

DateFirmChangeActionGraded asPrice at callRun before+30d+60d+90dTarget · 90d checkHit
2026-09-02 Berenberg Buy initiated Bullish $62.40 -1.8% — — — $92 pending
2026-08-11 UBS Neutral → Neutral maintained True hold · target +8% $71.63 -2.3% -16.4% — — $78 not graded
2026-08-11 Piper Sandler Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $71.63 -2.3% -16.4% — — $98 ✗
2026-08-11 Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $71.63 -2.3% -16.4% — — $90 ✗
2026-07-29 Scotiabank Sector Underperform → Sector Perform upgrade Bullish · raised to Sector Perform $53.03 -38.9% +9.5% +15.0% — $51 ✓
2026-07-17 B. Riley Securities Neutral → Buy upgrade Bullish $57.80 -32.3% +23.1% +1.7% — $85 ✓
2026-07-16 Piper Sandler Overweight initiated Bullish $55.01 -33.1% +29.3% +9.1% — $100 ✓
2026-05-29 Deutsche Bank Buy → Hold downgrade Bearish · cut to Hold $113.41 +62.4% -23.5% -50.1% -45.8% $106 hit ✓
2026-05-12 UBS Neutral → Neutral maintained True hold · target +9% $72.96 -23.1% +33.7% -7.4% -5.8% $80 missed not graded
2026-05-12 B. Riley Securities Neutral → Neutral maintained Leans bullish · Neutral, target +16% $72.96 -23.1% +33.7% -7.4% -5.8% $85 missed ✓
2026-04-09 Barclays Underweight → Underweight maintained Bearish $91.61 +4.7% -9.9% +0.5% -18.2% $65 close ✓
2026-03-04 UBS Neutral → Neutral maintained Leans bearish · Neutral, target -19% $104.89 +0.3% -9.6% -34.8% +12.7% $85 missed ✓
2026-02-13 B. Riley Securities Neutral → Neutral maintained Leans bullish · Neutral, target +15% $82.51 -13.3% +8.0% +7.3% +0.6% $95 missed ✓
2026-01-13 B. Riley Securities Buy → Neutral downgrade Bearish · cut to Neutral $92.72 +20.9% -11.3% -3.9% +6.7% $105 close ✓
2026-01-07 Scotiabank Sector Perform → Sector Underperform downgrade Bearish $85.73 +15.8% +18.7% +4.7% +8.0% $46 missed ✗
2025-11-25 Scotiabank Sector Underperform → Sector Perform upgrade Bullish · raised to Sector Perform $55.51 -24.7% +29.6% +88.8% +51.1% $46 missed ✓
2025-11-12 Clear Street Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $64.49 -28.7% +18.9% +52.6% +49.3% $87 hit ✓
2025-10-23 B. Riley Securities Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $71.72 — -23.3% +20.6% +44.3% $95 hit ✗
2025-10-17 Barclays Overweight → Underweight downgrade Bearish $83.49 — -32.2% -18.1% +21.3% $60 missed ✓
2025-10-07 Scotiabank Sector Perform → Sector Underperform downgrade Bearish $74.75 — -12.7% -1.0% +21.6% $43 missed ✓
2025-10-01 Barclays Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $56.94 — +40.9% -7.6% +31.2% $60 hit ✓

Also in Space

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Interactive version with the price chart and target overlay: Scorecard tab on the dashboard. All covered names: index.

How the grading works

Every sell-side rating change from the last 365 days is priced the day it lands and checked again 30, 60 and 90 days later. A call is a hit when the stock moved in the called direction at 30 days. Buy- and Sell-side ratings call their own direction. A Hold is read, not waved through: a downgrade to Hold is graded as a bearish call and an upgrade to Hold as a bullish one, and a maintained Hold whose price target sits 10%+ above the price leans bullish (10%+ below, leans bearish) and is graded that way. A Hold with a target close to the price is a true Hold and is not graded at all. Every call with a price target also gets a target check 90 days later: hit (reached it or within 5%), close (covered at least half the distance) or missed. A firm's accuracy on a single name prints only after 4 scored calls, and a firm gets its own page only after 10 scored calls across every covered name — below that a percentage is noise. Letter grades print only where a record differs from a coin flip at two sigma; tested across the whole book on 2026-09-21, firm direction accuracy is sampling noise at these call counts, so the firm leaderboard ranks on 90-day price-target hit rate instead (the test, in full). "Run before the call" is the stock's move over the 30 calendar days before the rating landed. Data: Yahoo Finance rating history and daily closes, rebuilt each morning. Nothing on this page is advice.

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