SPCX analyst scorecard
52 rating changes on SPCX in the last 12 months. 40% of bullish calls were right at 30 days. The Street was right 44% of the time on 39 scored calls (95% interval 29–59%), not distinguishable from a coin flip. Consensus target $226, 51% above the last close.
Graded through 2026-10-01 · last close $149.35 (2026-10-01). Rebuilt every morning.
Holds on SPCX, read: 0 cut to or raised to Hold (graded as the change) · 3 Holds whose target leaned 10%+ one way (graded that way) · 6 true Holds, not graded.
Firm by firm
| Firm | Calls | Scored | Right | Accuracy | Targets hit | Avg 30d | Avg 90d | Latest | Date | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macquarie | 6 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% | — | +15.5% | — | Outperform | 2026-09-30 | $250 |
| MoffettNathanson | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | -23.1% | — | Neutral | 2026-09-14 | $142 |
| Argus Research | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | -5.3% | -3.4% | Buy | 2026-08-07 | $160 |
| Piper Sandler | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | +24.1% | — | Neutral | 2026-08-05 | $140 |
| Wolfe Research | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | +6.5% | — | Outperform | 2026-08-26 | $175 |
| Evercore ISI Group | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | +3.8% | — | Outperform | 2026-07-14 | $230 |
| CFRA | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | -13.6% | -7.9% | Sell | 2026-06-12 | $115 |
| Needham | 3 | 3 | 2 | — | — | +5.7% | — | Buy | 2026-08-05 | $250 |
| Wells Fargo | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | +6.8% | — | Overweight | 2026-09-08 | $212 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | +6.8% | — | Overweight | 2026-08-05 | $246 |
| RBC Capital | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | -0.1% | — | Outperform | 2026-08-03 | $225 |
| UBS | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | — | -14.3% | — | Buy | 2026-08-17 | $210 |
| Oppenheimer | 3 | 2 | 0 | — | — | -24.4% | -13.4% | Outperform | 2026-09-02 | $280 |
| Deutsche Bank | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -23.1% | — | Buy | 2026-09-28 | $235 |
| TD Cowen | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | Buy | 2026-09-29 | $200 |
| CLSA | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | Outperform | 2026-09-28 | $250 |
| Pivotal Research | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | Buy | 2026-09-08 | $220 |
| HSBC | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | +17.3% | — | Hold | 2026-07-24 | $115 |
| Clear Street | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -23.1% | — | Buy | 2026-07-07 | $217 |
| Bernstein | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -23.1% | — | Outperform | 2026-07-07 | $239 |
| William Blair | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -23.1% | — | Outperform | 2026-07-07 | — |
| Raymond James | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -23.1% | — | Strong Buy | 2026-07-07 | — |
| Bank of America | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -23.1% | — | Buy | 2026-07-07 | $235 |
| JPMorgan | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -23.1% | — | Overweight | 2026-07-07 | $225 |
| Stifel | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -23.1% | — | Buy | 2026-07-07 | $190 |
| Morgan Stanley | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -23.1% | — | Overweight | 2026-07-07 | $300 |
| Citigroup | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -23.1% | — | Buy | 2026-07-07 | $200 |
| Goldman Sachs | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -23.1% | — | Buy | 2026-07-07 | $205 |
| Daiwa Capital | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | -29.3% | -6.9% | Neutral | 2026-07-02 | $175 |
| Wedbush | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -31.2% | -5.3% | Outperform | 2026-07-01 | $190 |
| Susquehanna | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | -24.3% | -2.7% | Neutral | 2026-06-23 | $170 |
| KeyBanc | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | -25.4% | -1.8% | Sector Weight | 2026-06-22 | — |
| KGI Securities | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -13.6% | -8.3% | Outperform | 2026-06-11 | — |
Dimmed rows have fewer than 4 scored calls on SPCX — too few to grade. No firm gets a letter on a single name: the samples are far too small to separate skill from a coin flip. Why →
Every call, last 12 months
| Date | Firm | Change | Action | Graded as | Price at call | Run before | +30d | +60d | +90d | Target · 90d check | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-30 | Macquarie | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $150.86 | +5.0% | — | — | — | $250 | pending |
| 2026-09-29 | TD Cowen | Buy | initiated | Bullish | $149.24 | +5.5% | — | — | — | $200 | pending |
| 2026-09-28 | Deutsche Bank | Buy → Buy | reiterated | Bullish | $145.47 | +2.8% | — | — | — | $235 | pending |
| 2026-09-28 | CLSA | Outperform | initiated | Bullish | $145.47 | +2.8% | — | — | — | $250 | pending |
| 2026-09-14 | MoffettNathanson | Neutral → Neutral | maintained | True hold · target -4% | $148.15 | +5.8% | — | — | — | $142 | not graded |
| 2026-09-08 | Wells Fargo | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $153.47 | +15.3% | — | — | — | $212 | pending |
| 2026-09-08 | Pivotal Research | Buy | initiated | Bullish | $153.47 | +15.3% | — | — | — | $220 | pending |
| 2026-09-02 | Oppenheimer | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $140.71 | +22.9% | — | — | — | $280 | pending |
| 2026-08-26 | Wolfe Research | Outperform → Outperform | reiterated | Bullish | $139.63 | +23.0% | +6.5% | — | — | $175 | ✓ |
| 2026-08-17 | UBS | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $146.23 | +17.9% | +3.2% | — | — | $210 | ✓ |
| 2026-08-07 | Argus Research | Hold → Buy | upgrade | Bullish | $133.11 | -10.2% | +15.3% | — | — | $160 | ✓ |
| 2026-08-05 | Macquarie | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $108.27 | -32.5% | +36.6% | — | — | $250 | ✓ |
| 2026-08-05 | Wells Fargo | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $108.27 | -32.5% | +36.6% | — | — | $215 | ✓ |
| 2026-08-05 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Overweight → Overweight | reiterated | Bullish | $108.27 | -32.5% | +36.6% | — | — | $246 | ✓ |
| 2026-08-05 | Piper Sandler | Neutral → Neutral | maintained | Leans bullish · Neutral, target +29% | $108.27 | -32.5% | +36.6% | — | — | $140 | ✓ |
| 2026-08-05 | Needham | Buy → Buy | reiterated | Bullish | $108.27 | -32.5% | +36.6% | — | — | $250 | ✓ |
| 2026-08-03 | RBC Capital | Outperform → Outperform | reiterated | Bullish | $114.53 | -29.3% | +22.9% | — | — | $225 | ✓ |
| 2026-08-03 | Macquarie | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $114.53 | -29.3% | +22.9% | — | — | $250 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-31 | Macquarie | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $108.37 | -31.2% | +32.6% | +37.7% | — | $250 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-24 | HSBC | Hold | initiated | True hold · target +0% | $115.07 | -25.5% | +17.3% | +34.5% | — | $115 | not graded |
| 2026-07-21 | Macquarie | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $123.54 | -33.2% | +8.5% | +22.9% | — | $250 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-16 | Piper Sandler | Neutral | initiated | Leans bullish · Neutral, target +19% | $131.11 | -38.0% | +11.5% | +13.0% | — | $156 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-15 | Needham | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $135.27 | -29.7% | +3.5% | +9.5% | — | $250 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-14 | Evercore ISI Group | Outperform | initiated | Bullish | $136.08 | -15.4% | +3.8% | +8.9% | — | $230 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-07 | Deutsche Bank | Buy | initiated | Bullish | $149.47 | — | -23.1% | +2.7% | — | $255 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-07 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Overweight | initiated | Bullish | $149.47 | — | -23.1% | +2.7% | — | $246 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-07 | Macquarie | Outperform | initiated | Bullish | $149.47 | — | -23.1% | +2.7% | — | $250 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-07 | Clear Street | Buy | initiated | Bullish | $149.47 | — | -23.1% | +2.7% | — | $217 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-07 | RBC Capital | Outperform | initiated | Bullish | $149.47 | — | -23.1% | +2.7% | — | $225 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-07 | Bernstein | Outperform | initiated | Bullish | $149.47 | — | -23.1% | +2.7% | — | $239 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-07 | William Blair | Outperform | initiated | Bullish | $149.47 | — | -23.1% | +2.7% | — | — | ✗ |
| 2026-07-07 | Raymond James | Strong Buy | initiated | Bullish | $149.47 | — | -23.1% | +2.7% | — | — | ✗ |
| 2026-07-07 | Bank of America | Buy | initiated | Bullish | $149.47 | — | -23.1% | +2.7% | — | $235 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-07 | JPMorgan | Overweight | initiated | Bullish | $149.47 | — | -23.1% | +2.7% | — | $225 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-07 | UBS | Buy | initiated | Bullish | $149.47 | — | -23.1% | +2.7% | — | $210 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-07 | MoffettNathanson | Neutral | initiated | Leans bearish · Neutral, target -12% | $149.47 | — | -23.1% | +2.7% | — | $131 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-07 | Stifel | Buy | initiated | Bullish | $149.47 | — | -23.1% | +2.7% | — | $190 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-07 | Needham | Buy | initiated | Bullish | $149.47 | — | -23.1% | +2.7% | — | $200 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-07 | UBS | Buy | initiated | Bullish | $149.47 | — | -23.1% | +2.7% | — | $210 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-07 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight | initiated | Bullish | $149.47 | — | -23.1% | +2.7% | — | $300 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-07 | Citigroup | Buy | initiated | Bullish | $149.47 | — | -23.1% | +2.7% | — | $200 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-07 | Wells Fargo | Overweight | initiated | Bullish | $149.47 | — | -23.1% | +2.7% | — | $230 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-07 | Goldman Sachs | Buy | initiated | Bullish | $149.47 | — | -23.1% | +2.7% | — | $205 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-02 | Daiwa Capital | Neutral | initiated | True hold · target +8% | $162.00 | — | -29.3% | -11.3% | -6.9% | $175 missed | not graded |
| 2026-07-01 | Wedbush | Outperform | initiated | Bullish | $157.54 | — | -31.2% | -8.8% | -5.3% | $190 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-06-26 | Argus Research | Hold | initiated | True hold | $153.23 | — | -25.9% | -10.0% | -3.4% | — | not graded |
| 2026-06-23 | Susquehanna | Neutral | initiated | True hold · target +8% | $156.11 | — | -24.3% | -13.5% | -2.7% | $170 missed | not graded |
| 2026-06-22 | KeyBanc | Sector Weight | initiated | True hold | $154.60 | — | -25.4% | -11.4% | -1.8% | — | not graded |
| 2026-06-18 | Oppenheimer | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $185.00 | — | -35.2% | -21.0% | -18.4% | $250 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-06-12 | CFRA | Sell | initiated | Bearish | $160.95 | — | -13.6% | -17.2% | -7.9% | $115 missed | ✓ |
| 2026-06-11 | Oppenheimer | Outperform | initiated | Bullish | $160.95 | — | -13.6% | -13.8% | -8.3% | $190 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-06-11 | KGI Securities | Outperform | initiated | Bullish | $160.95 | — | -13.6% | -13.8% | -8.3% | — | ✗ |
Also in Space
Interactive version with the price chart and target overlay: Scorecard tab on the dashboard. All covered names: index.
How the grading works
Every sell-side rating change from the last 365 days is priced the day it lands and checked again 30, 60 and 90 days later. A call is a hit when the stock moved in the called direction at 30 days. Buy- and Sell-side ratings call their own direction. A Hold is read, not waved through: a downgrade to Hold is graded as a bearish call and an upgrade to Hold as a bullish one, and a maintained Hold whose price target sits 10%+ above the price leans bullish (10%+ below, leans bearish) and is graded that way. A Hold with a target close to the price is a true Hold and is not graded at all. Every call with a price target also gets a target check 90 days later: hit (reached it or within 5%), close (covered at least half the distance) or missed. A firm's accuracy on a single name prints only after 4 scored calls, and a firm gets its own page only after 10 scored calls across every covered name — below that a percentage is noise. Letter grades print only where a record differs from a coin flip at two sigma; tested across the whole book on 2026-09-21, firm direction accuracy is sampling noise at these call counts, so the firm leaderboard ranks on 90-day price-target hit rate instead (the test, in full). "Run before the call" is the stock's move over the 30 calendar days before the rating landed. Data: Yahoo Finance rating history and daily closes, rebuilt each morning. Nothing on this page is advice.
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