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LUNR analyst scorecard

20 rating changes on LUNR in the last 12 months. 53% of bullish calls were right at 30 days. The Street was right 47% of the time on 19 scored calls (95% interval 27–68%), not distinguishable from a coin flip. Consensus target $30, 109% above the last close.

Graded through 2026-10-01 · last close $14.12 (2026-10-01). Rebuilt every morning.

Street timing, 30d
47.4% 27–68
Rating changes, 12 mo
20
Bullish calls right at 30d
52.9% of 17
Bearish calls right at 30d
—
Consensus target
$30 +109.0%
Firms covering
8
Price targets hit (90d)
45.0% of 20

Holds on LUNR, read: 1 cut to or raised to Hold (graded as the change) · 0 Holds whose target leaned 10%+ one way (graded that way) · 1 true Holds, not graded.

Firm by firm

FirmCallsScoredRightAccuracyTargets hitAvg 30dAvg 90dLatestDateTarget
Canaccord Genuity 442 50.0% 75.0% of 4 +10.1% +15.3% Buy2026-05-15 $41
Deutsche Bank 111 — — +54.4% +28.1% Buy2026-03-20 $22
Clear Street 111 — — +45.3% +4.1% Buy2025-12-29 $25
KeyBanc 332 — — +30.3% -5.3% Overweight2026-04-29 $27
Cantor Fitzgerald 221 — — +12.4% -4.5% Overweight2026-05-19 $43
B. Riley Securities 221 — — -3.3% -13.2% Buy2026-05-15 $45
Roth Capital 331 — — -18.8% -54.7% Buy2026-05-28 $75
Stifel 320 — — +13.4% +26.9% Hold2026-03-23 $22
Bank of America 110 — — +70.5% +89.6% Underperform2025-11-19 $10

Dimmed rows have fewer than 4 scored calls on LUNR — too few to grade. No firm gets a letter on a single name: the samples are far too small to separate skill from a coin flip. Why →

Every call, last 12 months

DateFirmChangeActionGraded asPrice at callRun before+30d+60d+90dTarget · 90d checkHit
2026-05-28 Roth Capital Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $45.70 +85.9% -54.1% -70.9% -64.8% $75 missed ✗
2026-05-19 Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $32.46 +17.7% -29.6% -57.4% -37.2% $43 missed ✗
2026-05-15 Canaccord Genuity Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $33.89 +41.9% -24.0% -56.0% -48.2% $41 missed ✗
2026-05-15 B. Riley Securities Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $33.89 +41.9% -24.0% -56.0% -48.2% $45 missed ✗
2026-05-15 Roth Capital Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $33.89 +41.9% -24.0% -56.0% -48.2% $50 missed ✗
2026-04-29 KeyBanc Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $24.79 +51.6% +76.8% -15.4% -50.1% $27 missed ✓
2026-04-17 Roth Capital Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $27.58 +52.3% +21.8% -15.3% -51.3% $35 missed ✓
2026-03-23 Stifel Hold → Hold maintained True hold · target +8% $20.31 +15.7% +47.4% +88.4% +8.3% $22 hit not graded
2026-03-20 Deutsche Bank Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $17.83 +0.5% +54.4% +82.0% +28.1% $22 hit ✓
2026-03-20 Canaccord Genuity Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $17.83 +0.5% +54.4% +82.0% +28.1% $24 hit ✓
2026-03-20 Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $17.83 +0.5% +54.4% +82.0% +28.1% $26 close ✓
2026-01-28 KeyBanc Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $22.81 +45.3% -27.8% -28.3% +7.8% $26 close ✗
2026-01-12 Canaccord Genuity Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $19.20 +60.4% -11.2% -8.3% +27.1% $22 hit ✗
2026-01-09 Stifel Buy → Hold downgrade Bearish · cut to Hold $18.56 +56.9% +4.8% -4.7% +18.4% $20 hit ✗
2025-12-29 Clear Street Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $15.70 +65.3% +45.3% +5.0% +4.1% $25 missed ✓
2025-12-22 B. Riley Securities Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $16.69 +93.6% +17.4% +5.2% +21.7% $20 hit ✓
2025-12-19 KeyBanc Overweight initiated Bullish $14.94 +70.5% +41.8% +11.2% +26.6% $20 close ✓
2025-11-19 Bank of America Underperform → Underperform maintained Bearish $8.77 -32.0% +70.5% +141.8% +89.6% $10 hit ✗
2025-11-07 Canaccord Genuity Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $9.59 -23.2% +21.3% +96.2% +54.2% $16 hit ✓
2025-11-03 Stifel Buy initiated Bullish $11.58 +1.2% -11.9% +54.4% +54.1% $18 hit ✗

Also in Space

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Interactive version with the price chart and target overlay: Scorecard tab on the dashboard. All covered names: index.

How the grading works

Every sell-side rating change from the last 365 days is priced the day it lands and checked again 30, 60 and 90 days later. A call is a hit when the stock moved in the called direction at 30 days. Buy- and Sell-side ratings call their own direction. A Hold is read, not waved through: a downgrade to Hold is graded as a bearish call and an upgrade to Hold as a bullish one, and a maintained Hold whose price target sits 10%+ above the price leans bullish (10%+ below, leans bearish) and is graded that way. A Hold with a target close to the price is a true Hold and is not graded at all. Every call with a price target also gets a target check 90 days later: hit (reached it or within 5%), close (covered at least half the distance) or missed. A firm's accuracy on a single name prints only after 4 scored calls, and a firm gets its own page only after 10 scored calls across every covered name — below that a percentage is noise. Letter grades print only where a record differs from a coin flip at two sigma; tested across the whole book on 2026-09-21, firm direction accuracy is sampling noise at these call counts, so the firm leaderboard ranks on 90-day price-target hit rate instead (the test, in full). "Run before the call" is the stock's move over the 30 calendar days before the rating landed. Data: Yahoo Finance rating history and daily closes, rebuilt each morning. Nothing on this page is advice.

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