RKLB analyst scorecard
44 rating changes on RKLB in the last 12 months. 46% of bullish calls were right at 30 days. The Street was right 49% of the time on 37 scored calls (95% interval 33–64%), not distinguishable from a coin flip. Consensus target $109, 55% above the last close.
Graded through 2026-10-01 · last close $70.68 (2026-10-01). Rebuilt every morning.
Holds on RKLB, read: 1 cut to or raised to Hold (graded as the change) · 3 Holds whose target leaned 10%+ one way (graded that way) · 5 true Holds, not graded.
Firm by firm
| Firm | Calls | Scored | Right | Accuracy | Targets hit | Avg 30d | Avg 90d | Latest | Date | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Needham | 6 | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 50.0% of 6 | +6.5% | +25.1% | Buy | 2026-06-30 | $120 |
| Citizens | 5 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | — | -9.9% | +24.3% | Market Outperform | 2026-08-11 | $130 |
| Bank of America | 4 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | — | +5.0% | +10.5% | Buy | 2026-08-31 | $110 |
| Cantor Fitzgerald | 4 | 4 | 1 | 25.0% | — | -18.2% | +51.0% | Overweight | 2026-08-11 | $122 |
| Stifel | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | — | +29.1% | +3.1% | Buy | 2026-04-20 | $105 |
| Piper Sandler | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | +21.9% | — | Neutral | 2026-07-16 | $83 |
| TD Cowen | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | +7.8% | -28.2% | Buy | 2026-05-08 | $120 |
| Clear Street | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | +24.4% | +50.1% | Buy | 2026-03-19 | $88 |
| Goldman Sachs | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | -14.1% | +0.3% | Neutral | 2026-01-20 | $69 |
| Morgan Stanley | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | -9.3% | +21.5% | Overweight | 2026-01-16 | $105 |
| Roth Capital | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | +9.2% | -24.8% | Buy | 2026-06-30 | $130 |
| KeyBanc | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | — | -29.3% | -8.2% | Overweight | 2026-06-15 | $135 |
| KGI Securities | 2 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -17.1% | -45.0% | Outperform | 2026-07-27 | $107 |
| Deutsche Bank | 2 | 2 | 0 | — | — | -5.0% | +20.3% | Buy | 2026-05-12 | $120 |
| Citigroup | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | Buy | 2026-10-01 | $105 |
| Raymond James | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | — | — | Outperform | 2026-09-11 | $80 |
| Craig-Hallum | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -36.4% | -29.0% | Buy | 2026-06-30 | $120 |
| BTIG | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | -2.4% | -31.9% | Hold | 2026-05-12 | — |
| Wells Fargo | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | +20.3% | +55.1% | Equal-Weight | 2026-04-01 | $60 |
| Baird | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -35.4% | +37.0% | Outperform | 2025-10-16 | $83 |
Dimmed rows have fewer than 4 scored calls on RKLB — too few to grade. No firm gets a letter on a single name: the samples are far too small to separate skill from a coin flip. Why →
Every call, last 12 months
| Date | Firm | Change | Action | Graded as | Price at call | Run before | +30d | +60d | +90d | Target · 90d check | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | Citigroup | Buy | initiated | Bullish | $70.68 | +13.0% | — | — | — | $105 | pending |
| 2026-09-11 | Raymond James | Outperform | initiated | Bullish | $62.95 | -22.4% | — | — | — | $80 | pending |
| 2026-08-31 | Bank of America | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $63.92 | -1.6% | +9.0% | — | — | $110 | ✓ |
| 2026-08-11 | Citizens | Market Outperform → Market Outperform | reiterated | Bullish | $80.01 | -1.3% | -22.6% | — | — | $130 | ✗ |
| 2026-08-11 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $80.01 | -1.3% | -22.6% | — | — | $122 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-27 | KGI Securities | Neutral → Outperform | upgrade | Bullish | $66.94 | -20.8% | -1.1% | +10.5% | — | $107 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-16 | Piper Sandler | Neutral | initiated | Leans bullish · Neutral, target +23% | $67.35 | -35.6% | +21.9% | -7.1% | — | $83 | ✓ |
| 2026-06-30 | Bank of America | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $101.65 | -29.1% | -36.4% | -37.1% | -29.0% | $115 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-06-30 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Overweight → Overweight | reiterated | Bullish | $101.65 | -29.1% | -36.4% | -37.1% | -29.0% | $96 hit | ✗ |
| 2026-06-30 | Citizens | Market Outperform → Market Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $101.65 | -29.1% | -36.4% | -37.1% | -29.0% | $130 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-06-30 | Roth Capital | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $101.65 | -29.1% | -36.4% | -37.1% | -29.0% | $130 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-06-30 | Craig-Hallum | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $101.65 | -29.1% | -36.4% | -37.1% | -29.0% | $120 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-06-30 | Needham | Buy → Buy | reiterated | Bullish | $101.65 | -29.1% | -36.4% | -37.1% | -29.0% | $120 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-06-15 | KeyBanc | Sector Weight → Overweight | upgrade | Bullish | $109.25 | -12.4% | -30.2% | -26.5% | -42.8% | $135 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-06-11 | KGI Securities | Neutral | initiated | True hold · target -8% | $114.78 | -2.4% | -33.1% | -30.3% | -45.0% | $105 hit | not graded |
| 2026-05-12 | BTIG | Hold → Hold | reiterated | True hold | $117.56 | +72.8% | -2.4% | -34.7% | -31.9% | — | not graded |
| 2026-05-12 | Deutsche Bank | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $117.56 | +72.8% | -2.4% | -34.7% | -31.9% | $120 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-05-11 | Needham | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $117.35 | +72.5% | -10.5% | -30.9% | -31.8% | $120 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-05-08 | TD Cowen | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $105.47 | +52.7% | +7.8% | -20.9% | -28.2% | $120 missed | ✓ |
| 2026-05-08 | Citizens | Market Outperform → Market Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $105.47 | +52.7% | +7.8% | -20.9% | -28.2% | $95 hit | ✓ |
| 2026-04-20 | Stifel | Buy → Buy | reiterated | Bullish | $89.46 | +33.1% | +50.1% | +12.1% | -26.5% | $105 missed | ✓ |
| 2026-04-17 | Roth Capital | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $84.80 | +22.1% | +54.7% | +23.4% | -20.6% | $100 missed | ✓ |
| 2026-04-07 | Citizens | Market Perform → Market Outperform | upgrade | Bullish | $66.32 | -5.4% | +18.5% | +71.4% | +40.4% | $85 hit | ✓ |
| 2026-04-01 | Wells Fargo | Equal-Weight | initiated | True hold · target -8% | $65.52 | -7.7% | +20.3% | +86.8% | +55.1% | $60 missed | not graded |
| 2026-03-19 | Clear Street | Buy | initiated | Bullish | $71.93 | +2.9% | +24.4% | +82.3% | +50.1% | $88 hit | ✓ |
| 2026-03-13 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Overweight → Overweight | reiterated | Bullish | $68.41 | -1.7% | +3.2% | +71.8% | +67.8% | $85 hit | ✓ |
| 2026-03-02 | Deutsche Bank | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $70.97 | -11.4% | -7.7% | +11.1% | +72.5% | $73 hit | ✗ |
| 2026-02-27 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $69.10 | -22.0% | -17.0% | +13.7% | +114.2% | $85 hit | ✗ |
| 2026-02-27 | Citizens | Market Perform → Market Perform | reiterated | True hold | $69.10 | -22.0% | -17.0% | +13.7% | +114.2% | — | not graded |
| 2026-02-27 | Needham | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $69.10 | -22.0% | -17.0% | +13.7% | +114.2% | $95 hit | ✗ |
| 2026-01-20 | Goldman Sachs | Neutral → Neutral | maintained | Leans bearish · Neutral, target -22% | $89.16 | +26.4% | -14.1% | -23.7% | +0.3% | $69 missed | ✓ |
| 2026-01-20 | Bank of America | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $89.16 | +26.4% | -14.1% | -23.7% | +0.3% | $120 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-01-16 | Morgan Stanley | Equal-Weight → Overweight | upgrade | Bullish | $96.30 | +78.5% | -27.4% | -18.4% | -13.9% | $105 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-01-15 | KeyBanc | Overweight → Sector Weight | downgrade | Bearish · cut to Sector Weight | $90.76 | +63.6% | -23.0% | -21.4% | -18.9% | — | ✓ |
| 2025-12-23 | Needham | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $77.18 | +91.5% | +14.0% | -9.0% | -11.9% | $90 missed | ✓ |
| 2025-12-22 | Stifel | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $77.55 | +92.4% | +13.2% | -8.6% | -12.3% | $85 missed | ✓ |
| 2025-11-25 | Needham | Buy → Buy | reiterated | Bullish | $42.60 | -34.0% | +65.8% | +88.9% | +64.8% | $63 hit | ✓ |
| 2025-11-19 | Bank of America | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $43.62 | -35.2% | +61.7% | +104.4% | +60.2% | $60 hit | ✓ |
| 2025-11-12 | Morgan Stanley | Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight | maintained | Leans bullish · Equal-Weight, target +34% | $49.97 | -23.6% | +23.1% | +75.9% | +44.1% | $67 hit | ✓ |
| 2025-11-12 | Needham | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $49.97 | -23.6% | +23.1% | +75.9% | +44.1% | $63 hit | ✓ |
| 2025-11-11 | Stifel | Buy → Buy | reiterated | Bullish | $51.24 | -20.3% | +24.0% | +71.5% | +48.0% | $75 hit | ✓ |
| 2025-10-17 | KeyBanc | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $66.27 | — | -34.6% | -16.3% | +37.0% | $75 hit | ✗ |
| 2025-10-16 | Baird | Outperform | initiated | Bullish | $67.00 | — | -35.4% | -17.3% | +37.0% | $83 hit | ✗ |
| 2025-10-13 | Morgan Stanley | Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight | maintained | True hold · target +3% | $65.42 | — | -23.6% | -6.0% | +34.4% | $68 hit | not graded |
Also in Space
Interactive version with the price chart and target overlay: Scorecard tab on the dashboard. All covered names: index.
How the grading works
Every sell-side rating change from the last 365 days is priced the day it lands and checked again 30, 60 and 90 days later. A call is a hit when the stock moved in the called direction at 30 days. Buy- and Sell-side ratings call their own direction. A Hold is read, not waved through: a downgrade to Hold is graded as a bearish call and an upgrade to Hold as a bullish one, and a maintained Hold whose price target sits 10%+ above the price leans bullish (10%+ below, leans bearish) and is graded that way. A Hold with a target close to the price is a true Hold and is not graded at all. Every call with a price target also gets a target check 90 days later: hit (reached it or within 5%), close (covered at least half the distance) or missed. A firm's accuracy on a single name prints only after 4 scored calls, and a firm gets its own page only after 10 scored calls across every covered name — below that a percentage is noise. Letter grades print only where a record differs from a coin flip at two sigma; tested across the whole book on 2026-09-21, firm direction accuracy is sampling noise at these call counts, so the firm leaderboard ranks on 90-day price-target hit rate instead (the test, in full). "Run before the call" is the stock's move over the 30 calendar days before the rating landed. Data: Yahoo Finance rating history and daily closes, rebuilt each morning. Nothing on this page is advice.
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