Scorecard › Space (who's right about space) › RKLB

RKLB analyst scorecard

44 rating changes on RKLB in the last 12 months. 46% of bullish calls were right at 30 days. The Street was right 49% of the time on 37 scored calls (95% interval 33–64%), not distinguishable from a coin flip. Consensus target $109, 55% above the last close.

Graded through 2026-10-01 · last close $70.68 (2026-10-01). Rebuilt every morning.

Street timing, 30d
48.6% 33–64
Rating changes, 12 mo
44
Bullish calls right at 30d
45.7% of 35
Bearish calls right at 30d
—
Consensus target
$109 +54.7%
Firms covering
19
Price targets hit (90d)
50.0% of 34

Holds on RKLB, read: 1 cut to or raised to Hold (graded as the change) · 3 Holds whose target leaned 10%+ one way (graded that way) · 5 true Holds, not graded.

The chase: the 4 upgrades on RKLB landed after an average +9.9% run in the prior 30 days, and the stock averaged -5.4% in the 90 days after.

Firm by firm

FirmCallsScoredRightAccuracyTargets hitAvg 30dAvg 90dLatestDateTarget
Needham 663 50.0% 50.0% of 6 +6.5% +25.1% Buy2026-06-30 $120
Citizens 542 50.0% — -9.9% +24.3% Market Outperform2026-08-11 $130
Bank of America 442 50.0% — +5.0% +10.5% Buy2026-08-31 $110
Cantor Fitzgerald 441 25.0% — -18.2% +51.0% Overweight2026-08-11 $122
Stifel 333 — — +29.1% +3.1% Buy2026-04-20 $105
Piper Sandler 111 — — +21.9% — Neutral2026-07-16 $83
TD Cowen 111 — — +7.8% -28.2% Buy2026-05-08 $120
Clear Street 111 — — +24.4% +50.1% Buy2026-03-19 $88
Goldman Sachs 111 — — -14.1% +0.3% Neutral2026-01-20 $69
Morgan Stanley 321 — — -9.3% +21.5% Overweight2026-01-16 $105
Roth Capital 221 — — +9.2% -24.8% Buy2026-06-30 $130
KeyBanc 331 — — -29.3% -8.2% Overweight2026-06-15 $135
KGI Securities 210 — — -17.1% -45.0% Outperform2026-07-27 $107
Deutsche Bank 220 — — -5.0% +20.3% Buy2026-05-12 $120
Citigroup 100 — — — — Buy2026-10-01 $105
Raymond James 100 — — — — Outperform2026-09-11 $80
Craig-Hallum 110 — — -36.4% -29.0% Buy2026-06-30 $120
BTIG 100 — — -2.4% -31.9% Hold2026-05-12 —
Wells Fargo 100 — — +20.3% +55.1% Equal-Weight2026-04-01 $60
Baird 110 — — -35.4% +37.0% Outperform2025-10-16 $83

Dimmed rows have fewer than 4 scored calls on RKLB — too few to grade. No firm gets a letter on a single name: the samples are far too small to separate skill from a coin flip. Why →

Every call, last 12 months

DateFirmChangeActionGraded asPrice at callRun before+30d+60d+90dTarget · 90d checkHit
2026-10-01 Citigroup Buy initiated Bullish $70.68 +13.0% — — — $105 pending
2026-09-11 Raymond James Outperform initiated Bullish $62.95 -22.4% — — — $80 pending
2026-08-31 Bank of America Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $63.92 -1.6% +9.0% — — $110 ✓
2026-08-11 Citizens Market Outperform → Market Outperform reiterated Bullish $80.01 -1.3% -22.6% — — $130 ✗
2026-08-11 Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $80.01 -1.3% -22.6% — — $122 ✗
2026-07-27 KGI Securities Neutral → Outperform upgrade Bullish $66.94 -20.8% -1.1% +10.5% — $107 ✗
2026-07-16 Piper Sandler Neutral initiated Leans bullish · Neutral, target +23% $67.35 -35.6% +21.9% -7.1% — $83 ✓
2026-06-30 Bank of America Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $101.65 -29.1% -36.4% -37.1% -29.0% $115 missed ✗
2026-06-30 Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight → Overweight reiterated Bullish $101.65 -29.1% -36.4% -37.1% -29.0% $96 hit ✗
2026-06-30 Citizens Market Outperform → Market Outperform maintained Bullish $101.65 -29.1% -36.4% -37.1% -29.0% $130 missed ✗
2026-06-30 Roth Capital Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $101.65 -29.1% -36.4% -37.1% -29.0% $130 missed ✗
2026-06-30 Craig-Hallum Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $101.65 -29.1% -36.4% -37.1% -29.0% $120 missed ✗
2026-06-30 Needham Buy → Buy reiterated Bullish $101.65 -29.1% -36.4% -37.1% -29.0% $120 missed ✗
2026-06-15 KeyBanc Sector Weight → Overweight upgrade Bullish $109.25 -12.4% -30.2% -26.5% -42.8% $135 missed ✗
2026-06-11 KGI Securities Neutral initiated True hold · target -8% $114.78 -2.4% -33.1% -30.3% -45.0% $105 hit not graded
2026-05-12 BTIG Hold → Hold reiterated True hold $117.56 +72.8% -2.4% -34.7% -31.9% — not graded
2026-05-12 Deutsche Bank Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $117.56 +72.8% -2.4% -34.7% -31.9% $120 missed ✗
2026-05-11 Needham Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $117.35 +72.5% -10.5% -30.9% -31.8% $120 missed ✗
2026-05-08 TD Cowen Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $105.47 +52.7% +7.8% -20.9% -28.2% $120 missed ✓
2026-05-08 Citizens Market Outperform → Market Outperform maintained Bullish $105.47 +52.7% +7.8% -20.9% -28.2% $95 hit ✓
2026-04-20 Stifel Buy → Buy reiterated Bullish $89.46 +33.1% +50.1% +12.1% -26.5% $105 missed ✓
2026-04-17 Roth Capital Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $84.80 +22.1% +54.7% +23.4% -20.6% $100 missed ✓
2026-04-07 Citizens Market Perform → Market Outperform upgrade Bullish $66.32 -5.4% +18.5% +71.4% +40.4% $85 hit ✓
2026-04-01 Wells Fargo Equal-Weight initiated True hold · target -8% $65.52 -7.7% +20.3% +86.8% +55.1% $60 missed not graded
2026-03-19 Clear Street Buy initiated Bullish $71.93 +2.9% +24.4% +82.3% +50.1% $88 hit ✓
2026-03-13 Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight → Overweight reiterated Bullish $68.41 -1.7% +3.2% +71.8% +67.8% $85 hit ✓
2026-03-02 Deutsche Bank Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $70.97 -11.4% -7.7% +11.1% +72.5% $73 hit ✗
2026-02-27 Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $69.10 -22.0% -17.0% +13.7% +114.2% $85 hit ✗
2026-02-27 Citizens Market Perform → Market Perform reiterated True hold $69.10 -22.0% -17.0% +13.7% +114.2% — not graded
2026-02-27 Needham Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $69.10 -22.0% -17.0% +13.7% +114.2% $95 hit ✗
2026-01-20 Goldman Sachs Neutral → Neutral maintained Leans bearish · Neutral, target -22% $89.16 +26.4% -14.1% -23.7% +0.3% $69 missed ✓
2026-01-20 Bank of America Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $89.16 +26.4% -14.1% -23.7% +0.3% $120 missed ✗
2026-01-16 Morgan Stanley Equal-Weight → Overweight upgrade Bullish $96.30 +78.5% -27.4% -18.4% -13.9% $105 missed ✗
2026-01-15 KeyBanc Overweight → Sector Weight downgrade Bearish · cut to Sector Weight $90.76 +63.6% -23.0% -21.4% -18.9% — ✓
2025-12-23 Needham Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $77.18 +91.5% +14.0% -9.0% -11.9% $90 missed ✓
2025-12-22 Stifel Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $77.55 +92.4% +13.2% -8.6% -12.3% $85 missed ✓
2025-11-25 Needham Buy → Buy reiterated Bullish $42.60 -34.0% +65.8% +88.9% +64.8% $63 hit ✓
2025-11-19 Bank of America Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $43.62 -35.2% +61.7% +104.4% +60.2% $60 hit ✓
2025-11-12 Morgan Stanley Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight maintained Leans bullish · Equal-Weight, target +34% $49.97 -23.6% +23.1% +75.9% +44.1% $67 hit ✓
2025-11-12 Needham Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $49.97 -23.6% +23.1% +75.9% +44.1% $63 hit ✓
2025-11-11 Stifel Buy → Buy reiterated Bullish $51.24 -20.3% +24.0% +71.5% +48.0% $75 hit ✓
2025-10-17 KeyBanc Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $66.27 — -34.6% -16.3% +37.0% $75 hit ✗
2025-10-16 Baird Outperform initiated Bullish $67.00 — -35.4% -17.3% +37.0% $83 hit ✗
2025-10-13 Morgan Stanley Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight maintained True hold · target +3% $65.42 — -23.6% -6.0% +34.4% $68 hit not graded

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Interactive version with the price chart and target overlay: Scorecard tab on the dashboard. All covered names: index.

How the grading works

Every sell-side rating change from the last 365 days is priced the day it lands and checked again 30, 60 and 90 days later. A call is a hit when the stock moved in the called direction at 30 days. Buy- and Sell-side ratings call their own direction. A Hold is read, not waved through: a downgrade to Hold is graded as a bearish call and an upgrade to Hold as a bullish one, and a maintained Hold whose price target sits 10%+ above the price leans bullish (10%+ below, leans bearish) and is graded that way. A Hold with a target close to the price is a true Hold and is not graded at all. Every call with a price target also gets a target check 90 days later: hit (reached it or within 5%), close (covered at least half the distance) or missed. A firm's accuracy on a single name prints only after 4 scored calls, and a firm gets its own page only after 10 scored calls across every covered name — below that a percentage is noise. Letter grades print only where a record differs from a coin flip at two sigma; tested across the whole book on 2026-09-21, firm direction accuracy is sampling noise at these call counts, so the firm leaderboard ranks on 90-day price-target hit rate instead (the test, in full). "Run before the call" is the stock's move over the 30 calendar days before the rating landed. Data: Yahoo Finance rating history and daily closes, rebuilt each morning. Nothing on this page is advice.

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