CME analyst scorecard · CME Group
43 rating changes on CME in the last 12 months. 60% of bullish calls were right at 30 days; 33% of bearish ones. Street grade C on 36 scored calls. Consensus target $284, 1% above the last close.
Graded through 2026-09-14 · last close $280.64 (2026-09-14). Rebuilt every morning.
Holds on CME, read: 2 cut to or raised to Hold (graded as the change) · 6 Holds whose target leaned 10%+ one way (graded that way, 33.3% right) · 5 true Holds, not graded.
Firm by firm
| Firm | Calls | Scored | Right | Accuracy | Grade | Avg 30d | Avg 90d | Latest | Date | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Stanley | 9 | 9 | 6 | 66.7% | B | +4.1% | -0.8% | Overweight | 2026-07-23 | $330 |
| TD Cowen | 7 | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | B | +3.5% | -6.6% | Buy | 2026-09-03 | $292 |
| Barclays | 7 | 5 | 1 | 20.0% | F | +1.3% | -6.5% | Equal-Weight | 2026-07-09 | $270 |
| UBS | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | — | +7.0% | -0.7% | Neutral | 2026-07-06 | $260 |
| Deutsche Bank | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | +2.5% | +3.8% | Hold | 2026-08-19 | $270 |
| Raymond James | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | +7.8% | -2.3% | Outperform | 2026-07-02 | $320 |
| Erste Group | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | -8.8% | +9.6% | Hold | 2026-06-05 | — |
| Argus Research | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | -3.6% | -21.7% | Hold | 2026-03-04 | — |
| Citigroup | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | +0.9% | +2.9% | Buy | 2025-09-25 | $300 |
| Piper Sandler | 3 | 3 | 2 | — | — | +2.2% | -5.6% | Overweight | 2026-07-15 | $295 |
| JPMorgan | 3 | 3 | 0 | — | — | +6.0% | -0.1% | Underweight | 2026-07-23 | $250 |
| Bank of America | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | +9.8% | — | Underperform | 2026-07-23 | $230 |
| Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -0.5% | — | Outperform | 2026-06-18 | $305 |
| Rothschild & Co | 1 | 1 | 0 | — | — | -6.5% | +4.8% | Buy | 2026-06-11 | $323 |
| RBC Capital | 1 | 0 | 0 | — | — | +7.3% | -3.0% | Sector Perform | 2026-02-05 | $302 |
Dimmed rows have fewer than 4 scored calls on CME — too few to grade.
Every call, last 12 months
| Date | Firm | Change | Action | Graded as | Price at call | Run before | +30d | +60d | +90d | Target · 90d check | Hit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-03 | TD Cowen | Buy → Buy | reiterated | Bullish | $282.05 | +7.4% | — | — | — | $292 | pending |
| 2026-08-19 | Deutsche Bank | Buy → Hold | downgrade | Bearish · cut to Hold | $266.94 | +8.9% | — | — | — | $270 | pending |
| 2026-07-23 | JPMorgan | Underweight → Underweight | maintained | Bearish | $254.32 | +5.0% | +9.8% | — | — | $250 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-23 | Bank of America | Underperform → Underperform | maintained | Bearish | $254.32 | +5.0% | +9.8% | — | — | $230 | ✗ |
| 2026-07-23 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $254.32 | +5.0% | +9.8% | — | — | $330 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-15 | Piper Sandler | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $245.18 | -7.8% | +10.0% | +14.5% | — | $295 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-10 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $240.27 | -8.9% | +9.7% | +15.8% | — | $324 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-09 | Barclays | Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight | maintained | Leans bullish · Equal-Weight, target +12% | $239.71 | -6.3% | +10.0% | +16.1% | — | $270 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-08 | TD Cowen | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $243.07 | -3.6% | +8.5% | +14.5% | — | $270 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-06 | UBS | Neutral → Neutral | maintained | Leans bullish · Neutral, target +10% | $234.76 | -8.8% | +12.8% | +19.8% | — | $260 | ✓ |
| 2026-07-02 | Raymond James | Outperform → Outperform | reiterated | Bullish | $236.60 | -5.6% | +12.5% | +20.7% | — | $320 | ✓ |
| 2026-06-22 | TD Cowen | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $245.20 | -15.8% | +1.6% | +12.2% | — | $273 | ✓ |
| 2026-06-18 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Market Perform → Outperform | upgrade | Bullish | $246.38 | -18.5% | -0.5% | +8.7% | — | $305 | ✗ |
| 2026-06-11 | Rothschild & Co | Neutral → Buy | upgrade | Bullish | $262.18 | -8.2% | -6.5% | +0.6% | +4.8% | $323 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-06-05 | Erste Group | Buy → Hold | downgrade | Bearish · cut to Hold | $257.40 | -10.7% | -8.8% | +2.0% | +9.6% | — | ✓ |
| 2026-04-23 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $285.47 | -5.7% | -1.0% | -14.1% | -12.7% | $353 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-04-23 | Barclays | Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight | maintained | Leans bullish · Equal-Weight, target +10% | $285.47 | -5.7% | -1.0% | -14.1% | -12.7% | $316 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-04-23 | TD Cowen | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $285.47 | -5.7% | -1.0% | -14.1% | -12.7% | $323 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-04-15 | Piper Sandler | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $296.90 | -5.4% | +0.7% | -10.4% | -17.9% | $329 missed | ✓ |
| 2026-04-13 | Barclays | Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight | maintained | Leans bullish · Equal-Weight, target +14% | $300.59 | -3.5% | -1.1% | -10.3% | -18.5% | $343 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-04-10 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $295.30 | -2.6% | -4.3% | -13.3% | -18.8% | $362 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-04-09 | TD Cowen | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $298.93 | -2.4% | -5.5% | -15.7% | -18.7% | $340 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-04-08 | Barclays | Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight | maintained | Leans bullish · Equal-Weight, target +13% | $302.81 | -5.1% | -7.1% | -16.8% | -20.5% | $344 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-03-04 | Argus Research | Buy → Hold | downgrade | Bearish · cut to Hold | $320.00 | +10.1% | -3.6% | -9.3% | -21.7% | — | ✓ |
| 2026-02-06 | UBS | Neutral → Neutral | maintained | True hold · target +2% | $302.27 | +13.3% | +5.6% | +2.8% | -5.1% | $310 missed | not graded |
| 2026-02-05 | JPMorgan | Underweight → Underweight | maintained | Bearish | $297.38 | +10.5% | +7.3% | +3.8% | -3.0% | $266 missed | ✗ |
| 2026-02-05 | TD Cowen | Buy → Buy | maintained | Bullish | $297.38 | +10.5% | +7.3% | +3.8% | -3.0% | $328 missed | ✓ |
| 2026-02-05 | Barclays | Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight | maintained | True hold · target +4% | $297.38 | +10.5% | +7.3% | +3.8% | -3.0% | $312 missed | not graded |
| 2026-02-05 | RBC Capital | Sector Perform → Sector Perform | maintained | True hold · target +1% | $297.38 | +10.5% | +7.3% | +3.8% | -3.0% | $302 hit | not graded |
| 2026-02-05 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $297.38 | +10.5% | +7.3% | +3.8% | -3.0% | $340 missed | ✓ |
| 2026-01-15 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $272.59 | -0.1% | +11.2% | +15.1% | +8.9% | $319 close | ✓ |
| 2026-01-14 | TD Cowen | Hold → Buy | upgrade | Bullish | $275.23 | +1.1% | +10.1% | +14.0% | +7.9% | $305 hit | ✓ |
| 2025-12-22 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $273.20 | +0.0% | +2.1% | +12.8% | +12.2% | $320 hit | ✓ |
| 2025-12-12 | Barclays | Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight | maintained | Leans bullish · Equal-Weight, target +11% | $273.55 | -2.2% | -3.1% | +12.1% | +13.8% | $304 hit | ✗ |
| 2025-11-13 | Piper Sandler | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $283.54 | +6.1% | -4.0% | -6.5% | +6.7% | $313 hit | ✗ |
| 2025-10-23 | UBS | Neutral → Neutral | maintained | True hold · target +4% | $268.90 | +2.6% | +2.5% | +1.6% | +3.8% | $280 hit | not graded |
| 2025-10-23 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $268.90 | +2.6% | +2.5% | +1.6% | +3.8% | $314 missed | ✓ |
| 2025-10-23 | Deutsche Bank | Hold → Buy | upgrade | Bullish | $268.90 | +2.6% | +2.5% | +1.6% | +3.8% | $300 missed | ✓ |
| 2025-10-13 | Raymond James | Outperform → Outperform | maintained | Bullish | $271.28 | — | +3.1% | +0.8% | -2.3% | $307 missed | ✓ |
| 2025-10-08 | Barclays | Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight | maintained | True hold · target +5% | $264.94 | — | +4.4% | +2.1% | +1.6% | $280 hit | not graded |
| 2025-10-01 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight → Overweight | maintained | Bullish | $265.84 | — | -0.1% | +5.0% | +3.8% | $312 missed | ✗ |
| 2025-09-25 | JPMorgan | Underweight → Underweight | maintained | Bearish | $268.73 | — | +0.9% | +2.6% | +2.9% | $252 missed | ✗ |
| 2025-09-25 | Citigroup | Neutral → Buy | upgrade | Bullish | $268.73 | — | +0.9% | +2.6% | +2.9% | $300 missed | ✓ |
Also in Brokers & Exchanges
Interactive version with the price chart and target overlay: Scorecard tab on the dashboard. All covered names: index.
How the grading works
Every sell-side rating change from the last 365 days is priced the day it lands and checked again 30, 60 and 90 days later. A call is a hit when the stock moved in the called direction at 30 days. Buy- and Sell-side ratings call their own direction. A Hold is read, not waved through: a downgrade to Hold is graded as a bearish call and an upgrade to Hold as a bullish one, and a maintained Hold whose price target sits 10%+ above the price leans bullish (10%+ below, leans bearish) and is graded that way. A Hold with a target close to the price is a true Hold and is not graded at all. Every call with a price target also gets a target check 90 days later: hit (reached it or within 5%), close (covered at least half the distance) or missed. A firm's accuracy on a single name prints only after 4 scored calls, and a firm gets its own page only after 10 scored calls across every covered name — below that a percentage is noise. "Run before the call" is the stock's move over the 30 calendar days before the rating landed. Data: Yahoo Finance rating history and daily closes, rebuilt each morning. Nothing on this page is advice.
Get the 7 AM brief
The AM take, today's docket and the Street's calls — one email, weekdays, before the open.