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CME analyst scorecard · CME Group

48 rating actions on CME in the last 12 months. Of 63 price targets that resolved, 21 were reached while they stood, 41 were replaced by the same firm first, and 1 fell short at their deadline. Ratings: 60% Buy-type, 33% Hold-type, 6% Sell-type. Consensus target $317, 7% above the last close.

Checked through 2026-10-29 · last close $295.57 (2026-10-29). Rebuilt every morning.

Targets reached while they stood
33.3% 21 of 63
Replaced before the deadline
65.1%
Short at the deadline
1.6%
Ratings vs XLF
3 of 7
Buy / Hold / Sell, 12 mo
60 / 33 / 6%
Consensus target
$317 +7.3%

What the Holds say: 14 Hold-type ratings on CME in the last 12 months carried a median target +5% from the price on the day; 7% sat below it.

The 4 upgrades on CME came after an average -2.8% move in the 30 days before them.

Firm by firm

FirmLatest ratingDateLatest targetTargets reachedReplaced earlyResolvedRatings vs sector
Morgan Stanley Overweight2026-10-22 $359 012120 of 1
TD Cowen Buy2026-10-05 $300 268—
Barclays Equal-Weight2026-10-22 $321 4812—
UBS Neutral2026-10-22 $310 134—
Raymond James Outperform2026-07-02 $320 2021 of 1
Erste Group Hold2026-06-05 — ——0—
Argus Research Hold2026-03-04 — ——0—
Piper Sandler Overweight2026-10-22 $330 4261 of 1
Wells Fargo Overweight2026-10-22 $333 022—
JPMorgan Overweight2026-10-22 $367 1340 of 1
Deutsche Bank Hold2026-08-19 $270 101—
Bank of America Underperform2026-07-23 $230 0010 of 1
Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Outperform2026-06-18 $305 123—
Rothschild & Co Buy2026-06-11 $323 ——0—
RBC Capital Sector Perform2026-02-05 $302 101—

Counts for one firm on one stock are small and move together; they are a record, not a grade. Neither the firms nor CME carry a letter here. Why →

Every call, last 12 months

DateFirmRatingActionPrice at callTargetTarget statusMove in the 30 days before
2026-10-22 UBS Neutral maintained $305.98 $310 within 5% of price when set +14.5%
2026-10-22 Morgan Stanley Overweight maintained $305.98 $359 running to 2028-04-22 +14.5%
2026-10-22 Barclays Equal-Weight maintained $305.98 $321 within 5% of price when set +14.5%
2026-10-22 Wells Fargo Overweight maintained $305.98 $333 running to 2027-10-22 +14.5%
2026-10-22 Piper Sandler Overweight reiterated $305.98 $330 running to 2027-10-22 +14.5%
2026-10-22 JPMorgan Underweight → Overweight upgrade $305.98 $367 running to 2027-10-22 +14.5%
2026-10-14 Wells Fargo Overweight maintained $285.59 $315 replaced 2026-10-22, new $333 +1.8%
2026-10-09 Morgan Stanley Overweight maintained $280.56 $337 replaced 2026-10-22, new $359 +2.1%
2026-10-07 Barclays Equal-Weight maintained $270.27 $281 within 5% of price when set -3.9%
2026-10-05 UBS Neutral maintained $270.03 $270 within 5% of price when set -4.0%
2026-10-05 TD Cowen Buy maintained $270.03 $300 reached 2026-10-22 -4.0%
2026-10-02 Wells Fargo Overweight initiated $263.14 $301 replaced 2026-10-14, new $315 -5.3%
2026-09-28 TD Cowen Buy reiterated $263.24 $292 replaced 2026-10-05, new $300 -7.9%
2026-09-03 TD Cowen Buy reiterated $282.05 $292 within 5% of price when set +7.4%
2026-08-19 Deutsche Bank Buy → Hold downgrade $266.94 $270 within 5% of price when set +8.9%
2026-07-23 JPMorgan Underweight maintained $254.32 $250 within 5% of price when set +5.0%
2026-07-23 Bank of America Underperform maintained $254.32 $230 running to 2027-07-23 +5.0%
2026-07-23 Morgan Stanley Overweight maintained $254.32 $330 replaced 2026-10-09, new $337 +5.0%
2026-07-15 Piper Sandler Overweight maintained $245.18 $295 reached 2026-10-20 -7.8%
2026-07-10 Morgan Stanley Overweight maintained $240.27 $324 replaced 2026-07-23, new $330 -8.9%
2026-07-09 Barclays Equal-Weight maintained $239.71 $270 reached 2026-08-18 -6.3%
2026-07-08 TD Cowen Buy maintained $243.07 $270 reached 2026-08-18 -3.6%
2026-07-06 UBS Neutral maintained $234.76 $260 reached 2026-07-28 -8.8%
2026-07-02 Raymond James Outperform reiterated $236.60 $320 running to 2027-07-02 -5.6%
2026-06-22 TD Cowen Buy maintained $245.20 $273 replaced 2026-07-08, new $270 -15.8%
2026-06-18 Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Market Perform → Outperform upgrade $246.38 $305 reached 2026-10-22 -18.5%
2026-06-11 Rothschild & Co Neutral → Buy upgrade $262.18 $323 running to 2027-06-11 -8.2%
2026-06-05 Erste Group Buy → Hold downgrade $257.40 — no target -10.7%
2026-04-23 Morgan Stanley Overweight maintained $285.47 $353 replaced 2026-07-10, new $324 -5.7%
2026-04-23 Barclays Equal-Weight maintained $285.47 $316 replaced 2026-07-09, new $270 -5.7%
2026-04-23 TD Cowen Buy maintained $285.47 $323 replaced 2026-06-22, new $273 -5.7%
2026-04-15 Piper Sandler Overweight maintained $296.90 $329 replaced 2026-07-15, new $295 -5.4%
2026-04-13 Barclays Equal-Weight maintained $300.59 $343 replaced 2026-04-23, new $316 -3.5%
2026-04-10 Morgan Stanley Overweight maintained $295.30 $362 replaced 2026-04-23, new $353 -2.6%
2026-04-09 TD Cowen Buy maintained $298.93 $340 replaced 2026-04-23, new $323 -2.4%
2026-04-08 Barclays Equal-Weight maintained $302.81 $344 replaced 2026-04-13, new $343 -5.1%
2026-03-04 Argus Research Buy → Hold downgrade $320.00 — no target +10.1%
2026-02-06 UBS Neutral maintained $302.27 $310 within 5% of price when set +13.3%
2026-02-05 JPMorgan Underweight maintained $297.38 $266 reached 2026-06-01 +10.5%
2026-02-05 TD Cowen Buy maintained $297.38 $328 replaced 2026-04-09, new $340 +10.5%
2026-02-05 Barclays Equal-Weight maintained $297.38 $312 within 5% of price when set +10.5%
2026-02-05 RBC Capital Sector Perform maintained $297.38 $302 within 5% of price when set +10.5%
2026-02-05 Morgan Stanley Overweight maintained $297.38 $340 replaced 2026-04-10, new $362 +10.5%
2026-01-15 Morgan Stanley Overweight maintained $272.59 $319 replaced 2026-02-05, new $340 -0.1%
2026-01-14 TD Cowen Hold → Buy upgrade $275.23 $305 replaced 2026-02-05, new $328 +1.1%
2025-12-22 Morgan Stanley Overweight maintained $273.20 $320 replaced 2026-01-15, new $319 +0.0%
2025-12-12 Barclays Equal-Weight maintained $273.55 $304 replaced 2026-02-05, new $312 -2.2%
2025-11-13 Piper Sandler Overweight maintained $283.54 $313 reached 2026-02-23 —

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How calls are checked

Every call is checked on the firm's own terms. A price target is followed until its own deadline (12 months unless the firm publishes a different horizon) and ends as reached (the stock closed at or beyond it while it stood), replaced (the same firm set a new target first) or short at deadline. A rating is compared with the stock's sector SPDR ETF on total return over the rating's life, because most big-firm ratings are relative: Overweight means "beat its peers", not "go up". Hold-type ratings are tracked, not graded. A firm is numbered only with 30+ resolved targets, and a letter prints only for a firm's whole record where an exact test separates it from a coin flip. None of this is a verdict on anyone's skill, and one day is never a grade. The full method →

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