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TSM analyst scorecard

22 rating actions on TSM in the last 12 months. Of 30 price targets that resolved, 13 were reached while they stood, 17 were replaced by the same firm first, and 0 fell short at their deadline. Ratings: 91% Buy-type, 9% Hold-type, 0% Sell-type. Consensus target $584, 36% above the last close.

Checked through 2026-10-29 · last close $429.82 (2026-10-29). Rebuilt every morning.

Targets reached while they stood
43.3% 13 of 30
Replaced before the deadline
56.7%
Short at the deadline
0.0%
Ratings vs XLK
3 of 3
Buy / Hold / Sell, 12 mo
91 / 9 / 0%
Consensus target
$584 +35.9%

What the Holds say: 2 Hold-type ratings on TSM in the last 12 months carried a median target +9% from the price on the day; 0% sat below it.

Firm by firm

FirmLatest ratingDateLatest targetTargets reachedReplaced earlyResolvedRatings vs sector
Barclays Overweight2026-10-16 $670 29111 of 1
Needham Buy2026-10-15 $560 4591 of 1
Bernstein Outperform2026-08-11 $554 101—
TD Cowen Hold2026-07-17 $440 202—
Stifel Buy2026-09-02 $515 ——0—
Freedom Broker Buy2026-04-07 $210 ——0—
DA Davidson Buy2026-10-16 $500 202—
Susquehanna Positive2026-07-16 $600 2351 of 1
Bank of America Buy2026-06-24 $590 ——0—

Counts for one firm on one stock are small and move together; they are a record, not a grade. Neither the firms nor TSM carry a letter here. Why →

Every call, last 12 months

DateFirmRatingActionPrice at callTargetTarget statusMove in the 30 days before
2026-10-16 Barclays Overweight maintained $412.61 $670 running to 2027-10-16 -1.2%
2026-10-16 DA Davidson Buy maintained $412.61 $500 running to 2027-10-16 -1.2%
2026-10-15 Needham Buy maintained $422.25 $560 running to 2027-10-15 +2.0%
2026-10-06 Barclays Overweight maintained $482.30 $665 replaced 2026-10-16, new $670 +12.4%
2026-09-02 Stifel Buy initiated $415.50 $515 running to 2027-09-02 +2.3%
2026-08-11 Bernstein Outperform maintained $422.06 $554 running to 2027-08-11 -2.8%
2026-07-27 Needham Buy maintained $399.09 $530 replaced 2026-10-15, new $560 -7.7%
2026-07-17 DA Davidson Buy maintained $398.37 $500 running to 2027-07-17 -7.8%
2026-07-17 TD Cowen Hold maintained $398.37 $440 reached 2026-09-21 -7.8%
2026-07-17 Barclays Overweight maintained $398.37 $650 replaced 2026-10-06, new $665 -7.8%
2026-07-16 Susquehanna Positive maintained $409.74 $600 running to 2027-07-16 -3.8%
2026-06-24 Bank of America Buy maintained $440.83 $590 running to 2027-06-24 +9.0%
2026-06-22 Susquehanna Positive maintained $467.67 $575 replaced 2026-07-16, new $600 +15.6%
2026-04-22 Barclays Overweight maintained $387.44 $470 reached 2026-06-30 +14.5%
2026-04-17 DA Davidson Buy maintained $370.50 $450 reached 2026-06-18 +9.1%
2026-04-16 Needham Buy maintained $363.35 $480 replaced 2026-07-27, new $530 +5.0%
2026-04-07 Freedom Broker Buy maintained $345.32 $210 running to 2027-04-07 +1.9%
2026-02-13 DA Davidson Buy initiated $366.36 $450 reached 2026-06-18 +12.0%
2026-01-16 Barclays Overweight maintained $342.40 $450 replaced 2026-04-22, new $470 +23.6%
2026-01-16 TD Cowen Hold maintained $342.40 $370 reached 2026-02-11 +23.6%
2026-01-15 Needham Buy maintained $341.64 $410 replaced 2026-04-16, new $480 +19.1%
2025-12-08 Bernstein Outperform maintained $301.87 $330 reached 2026-01-12 +5.4%

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How calls are checked

Every call is checked on the firm's own terms. A price target is followed until its own deadline (12 months unless the firm publishes a different horizon) and ends as reached (the stock closed at or beyond it while it stood), replaced (the same firm set a new target first) or short at deadline. A rating is compared with the stock's sector SPDR ETF on total return over the rating's life, because most big-firm ratings are relative: Overweight means "beat its peers", not "go up". Hold-type ratings are tracked, not graded. A firm is numbered only with 30+ resolved targets, and a letter prints only for a firm's whole record where an exact test separates it from a coin flip. None of this is a verdict on anyone's skill, and one day is never a grade. The full method →

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