ScorecardBiotech (who's right about biotech) › VRTX

VRTX analyst scorecard · Vertex Pharmaceuticals

50 rating changes on VRTX in the last 12 months. 50% of bullish calls were right at 30 days. Street grade C on 41 scored calls. Consensus target $569, 10% above the last close.

Graded through 2026-09-14 · last close $519.55 (2026-09-14). Rebuilt every morning.

Street grade
C 51.2%
Rating changes, 12 mo
50
Bullish calls right at 30d
50.0% of 40
Bearish calls right at 30d
Consensus target
$569 +9.6%
Firms covering
27
Price targets hit (90d)
20.0% of 40

Holds on VRTX, read: 0 cut to or raised to Hold (graded as the change) · 1 Holds whose target leaned 10%+ one way (graded that way) · 9 true Holds, not graded.

The 8 upgrades on VRTX came after an average +2.9% move in the prior 30 days, and the stock averaged -1.6% in the 90 days after.

Firm by firm

FirmCallsScoredRightAccuracyGradeAvg 30dAvg 90dLatestDateTarget
Barclays 543 75.0% A +5.1% +1.3% Overweight2026-08-05 $617
RBC Capital 542 50.0% C +0.6% +2.0% Outperform2026-07-07 $570
Morgan Stanley 651 20.0% F -1.2% +5.4% Overweight2026-05-05 $616
UBS 333 +6.2% +0.7% Buy2026-07-13 $585
Bernstein 222 +2.1% +3.2% Outperform2026-05-05 $572
Leerink Partners 222 +7.0% +8.8% Outperform2025-12-29 $525
TD Cowen 111 +16.6% Buy2026-08-04 $550
Cantor Fitzgerald 111 +16.6% Overweight2026-08-04 $595
Baird 111 -7.3% Underperform2026-07-07 $350
Evercore ISI Group 111 +2.7% -7.1% Outperform2026-01-23 $530
Wells Fargo 111 +4.3% +12.3% Overweight2025-12-10 $515
Truist Securities 332 +3.6% -9.5% Buy2026-08-05 $565
Citigroup 221 -3.1% -0.2% Buy2026-03-10 $585
Canaccord Genuity 400 +4.8% +5.2% Hold2026-08-04 $442
HC Wainwright & Co. 330 -6.6% -9.4% Buy2026-03-10 $641
Oppenheimer 220 -7.8% -9.8% Outperform2026-03-10 $600
Stifel 200 +1.6% +1.8% Hold2026-02-13 $466
Maxim Group 110 -2.3% +0.3% Buy2026-03-18 $575
Bank of America 110 -10.5% -11.3% Buy2026-03-10 $598
Jefferies 110 -10.5% -11.3% Buy2026-03-10 $580
Scotiabank 110 -5.2% -8.3% Sector Perform2026-02-13 $558
Wolfe Research 110 -2.0% -7.3% Outperform2026-01-06 $548
JPMorgan 110 -2.8% +11.2% Overweight2025-10-08 $530

Dimmed rows have fewer than 4 scored calls on VRTX — too few to grade.

Every call, last 12 months

DateFirmChangeActionGraded asPrice at callRun before+30d+60d+90dTarget · 90d checkHit
2026-08-05 Truist Securities Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $484.83 -8.4% +12.6% $565
2026-08-05 Barclays Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $484.83 -8.4% +12.6% $617
2026-08-04 TD Cowen Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $478.71 -9.3% +16.6% $550
2026-08-04 Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $478.71 -9.3% +16.6% $595
2026-08-04 Canaccord Genuity Hold → Hold maintained True hold · target -7% $478.71 -9.3% +16.6% $442 not graded
2026-07-13 UBS Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $480.25 +7.9% +9.5% +7.3% $585
2026-07-13 Truist Securities Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $480.25 +7.9% +9.5% +7.3% $560
2026-07-07 RBC Capital Outperform → Outperform maintained Bullish $522.25 +16.9% -7.3% +1.3% $570
2026-07-07 Baird Underperform → Underperform maintained Bearish $522.25 +16.9% -7.3% +1.3% $350
2026-05-06 Barclays Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $427.65 -1.5% +4.5% +23.8% +11.9% $615 missed
2026-05-05 Canaccord Genuity Hold → Hold maintained True hold · target +2% $424.36 -3.3% +4.1% +24.8% +10.9% $436 hit not graded
2026-05-05 Morgan Stanley Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $424.36 -3.3% +4.1% +24.8% +10.9% $616 missed
2026-05-05 Bernstein Outperform → Outperform maintained Bullish $424.36 -3.3% +4.1% +24.8% +10.9% $572 missed
2026-05-05 RBC Capital Outperform → Outperform maintained Bullish $424.36 -3.3% +4.1% +24.8% +10.9% $543 missed
2026-04-30 Canaccord Genuity Hold → Hold maintained True hold · target +2% $427.38 -4.3% +2.6% +16.9% +13.1% $437 hit not graded
2026-04-10 Morgan Stanley Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $436.27 -11.4% -0.2% +2.2% +13.8% $612 missed
2026-03-18 Maxim Group Hold → Buy upgrade Bullish $451.59 -8.1% -2.3% -3.3% +0.3% $575 missed
2026-03-11 Truist Securities Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $492.38 +4.6% -11.4% -11.6% -9.5% $525 missed
2026-03-10 Morgan Stanley Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $499.17 +4.5% -10.5% -12.8% -11.3% $596 missed
2026-03-10 Bank of America Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $499.17 +4.5% -10.5% -12.8% -11.3% $598 missed
2026-03-10 Citigroup Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $499.17 +4.5% -10.5% -12.8% -11.3% $585 missed
2026-03-10 Oppenheimer Outperform → Outperform maintained Bullish $499.17 +4.5% -10.5% -12.8% -11.3% $600 missed
2026-03-10 Jefferies Buy initiated Bullish $499.17 +4.5% -10.5% -12.8% -11.3% $580 missed
2026-03-10 HC Wainwright & Co. Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $499.17 +4.5% -10.5% -12.8% -11.3% $641 missed
2026-02-17 Canaccord Genuity Hold → Hold maintained True hold · target -7% $477.32 +8.2% -4.0% -8.0% -8.5% $441 hit not graded
2026-02-17 Barclays Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $477.32 +8.2% -4.0% -8.0% -8.5% $607 missed
2026-02-17 HC Wainwright & Co. Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $477.32 +8.2% -4.0% -8.0% -8.5% $591 missed
2026-02-13 Scotiabank Sector Perform → Sector Perform maintained Leans bullish · Sector Perform, target +13% $491.47 +9.3% -5.2% -9.6% -8.3% $558 missed
2026-02-13 RBC Capital Outperform → Outperform maintained Bullish $491.47 +9.3% -5.2% -9.6% -8.3% $541 missed
2026-02-13 Stifel Hold → Hold maintained True hold · target -5% $491.47 +9.3% -5.2% -9.6% -8.3% $466 hit not graded
2026-02-13 Oppenheimer Perform → Outperform upgrade Bullish $491.47 +9.3% -5.2% -9.6% -8.3% $540 missed
2026-02-13 HC Wainwright & Co. Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $491.47 +9.3% -5.2% -9.6% -8.3% $518 missed
2026-01-28 Barclays Equal-Weight → Overweight upgrade Bullish $477.91 +3.9% +4.0% -7.3% -10.0% $606 missed
2026-01-26 UBS Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $476.84 +3.0% +1.3% -9.2% -10.7% $545 missed
2026-01-23 Evercore ISI Group Outperform → Outperform maintained Bullish $468.41 +1.2% +2.7% -4.2% -7.1% $530 missed
2026-01-22 RBC Capital Sector Perform → Outperform upgrade Bullish $467.35 +1.8% +2.9% -3.5% -6.3% $546 missed
2026-01-12 Bernstein Market Perform → Outperform upgrade Bullish $460.59 +1.9% +0.1% +1.9% -4.5%
2026-01-06 Wolfe Research Peer Perform → Outperform upgrade Bullish $468.38 +2.8% -2.0% -1.6% -7.3% $548 missed
2025-12-29 Leerink Partners Outperform → Outperform maintained Bullish $459.78 +6.0% +3.9% +8.1% -3.6% $525 missed
2025-12-10 Wells Fargo Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $444.64 +5.6% +4.3% +5.9% +12.3% $515 hit
2025-12-05 Morgan Stanley Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $455.48 +9.2% -1.5% +2.2% +1.2% $564 missed
2025-12-03 Morgan Stanley Equal-Weight → Overweight upgrade Bullish $463.13 +8.7% -2.4% +1.9% +2.4% $516 missed
2025-11-07 UBS Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $409.47 -2.8% +8.0% +14.4% +12.1% $546 missed
2025-11-04 RBC Capital Sector Perform → Sector Perform maintained True hold · target -1% $421.67 +4.5% +8.5% +6.4% +11.9% $415 missed not graded
2025-11-04 Barclays Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight maintained True hold · target -1% $421.67 +4.5% +8.5% +6.4% +11.9% $414 missed not graded
2025-11-04 Stifel Hold → Hold maintained True hold · target +5% $421.67 +4.5% +8.5% +6.4% +11.9% $445 hit not graded
2025-10-10 Morgan Stanley Equal-Weight → Equal-Weight maintained True hold · target +7% $407.79 +3.3% +7.2% +15.2% $438 hit not graded
2025-10-08 JPMorgan Overweight → Overweight maintained Bullish $421.15 -2.8% +5.0% +11.2% $530 missed
2025-10-02 Citigroup Buy → Buy maintained Bullish $408.85 +4.2% +4.1% +10.9% $575 missed
2025-09-25 Leerink Partners Market Perform → Outperform upgrade Bullish $381.87 +10.0% +11.0% +21.2% $456 hit

Also in Biotech

AMGNGILDREGNMRNABiotech vs XBI →

Interactive version with the price chart and target overlay: Scorecard tab on the dashboard. All covered names: index.

How the grading works

Every sell-side rating change from the last 365 days is priced the day it lands and checked again 30, 60 and 90 days later. A call is a hit when the stock moved in the called direction at 30 days. Buy- and Sell-side ratings call their own direction. A Hold is read, not waved through: a downgrade to Hold is graded as a bearish call and an upgrade to Hold as a bullish one, and a maintained Hold whose price target sits 10%+ above the price leans bullish (10%+ below, leans bearish) and is graded that way. A Hold with a target close to the price is a true Hold and is not graded at all. Every call with a price target also gets a target check 90 days later: hit (reached it or within 5%), close (covered at least half the distance) or missed. A firm's accuracy on a single name prints only after 4 scored calls, and a firm gets its own page only after 10 scored calls across every covered name — below that a percentage is noise. "Run before the call" is the stock's move over the 30 calendar days before the rating landed. Data: Yahoo Finance rating history and daily closes, rebuilt each morning. Nothing on this page is advice.

Get the 7 AM brief

The AM take, today's docket and the Street's calls — one email, weekdays, before the open.