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ASML analyst scorecard

24 rating actions on ASML in the last 12 months. Of 27 price targets that resolved, 14 were reached while they stood, 13 were replaced by the same firm first, and 0 fell short at their deadline. Ratings: 96% Buy-type, 4% Hold-type, 0% Sell-type. Consensus target $2142, 28% above the last close.

Checked through 2026-10-29 · last close $1669.93 (2026-10-29). Rebuilt every morning.

Targets reached while they stood
51.9% 14 of 27
Replaced before the deadline
48.1%
Short at the deadline
0.0%
Ratings vs XLK
6 of 6
Buy / Hold / Sell, 12 mo
96 / 4 / 0%
Consensus target
$2142 +28.3%

What the Holds say: 1 Hold-type ratings on ASML in the last 12 months carried a median target -9% from the price on the day; 100% sat below it.

The 3 upgrades on ASML came after an average +23.7% move in the 30 days before them.

Firm by firm

FirmLatest ratingDateLatest targetTargets reachedReplaced earlyResolvedRatings vs sector
RBC Capital Outperform2026-07-16 $2100 134—
JPMorgan Overweight2026-10-15 $2350 2461 of 1
Bernstein Outperform2026-07-06 $2623 2241 of 1
Wells Fargo Overweight2026-07-16 $2500 4481 of 1
KGI Securities Outperform2026-01-15 $1415 101—
Bank of America Buy2026-06-22 $2345 101—
Barclays Overweight2026-01-29 — ——0—
Freedom Broker Hold2025-11-19 $950 ——0—

Counts for one firm on one stock are small and move together; they are a record, not a grade. Neither the firms nor ASML carry a letter here. Why →

Every call, last 12 months

DateFirmRatingActionPrice at callTargetTarget statusMove in the 30 days before
2026-10-15 JPMorgan Overweight maintained $1657.44 $2350 running to 2027-10-15 +4.1%
2026-07-16 JPMorgan Overweight maintained $1784.87 $2400 replaced 2026-10-15, new $2350 -1.1%
2026-07-16 Wells Fargo Overweight maintained $1784.87 $2500 running to 2027-07-16 -1.1%
2026-07-16 RBC Capital Outperform maintained $1784.87 $2100 running to 2027-07-16 -1.1%
2026-07-14 RBC Capital Outperform maintained $1775.64 $2000 replaced 2026-07-16, new $2100 -4.7%
2026-07-06 Bernstein Outperform maintained $1825.07 $2623 running to 2027-07-06 +11.2%
2026-06-22 Bank of America Buy maintained $1929.25 $2345 running to 2027-06-22 +18.1%
2026-06-22 Wells Fargo Overweight maintained $1929.25 $2200 replaced 2026-07-16, new $2500 +18.1%
2026-06-03 JPMorgan Overweight maintained $1726.36 $2200 replaced 2026-07-16, new $2400 +24.5%
2026-04-16 Wells Fargo Overweight maintained $1410.83 $1750 reached 2026-06-04 +1.6%
2026-04-16 RBC Capital Outperform maintained $1410.83 $1700 reached 2026-06-02 +1.6%
2026-03-26 Bernstein Outperform maintained $1329.50 $1971 reached 2026-06-30 -11.2%
2026-01-29 RBC Capital Outperform maintained $1455.16 $1625 replaced 2026-04-16, new $1700 +35.7%
2026-01-29 Wells Fargo Overweight maintained $1455.16 $1650 replaced 2026-04-16, new $1750 +35.7%
2026-01-29 Barclays Equal-Weight → Overweight upgrade $1455.16 — no target +35.7%
2026-01-22 Bernstein Outperform maintained $1395.00 $1642 replaced 2026-03-26, new $1971 +31.4%
2026-01-15 KGI Securities Hold → Outperform upgrade $1331.60 $1415 reached 2026-01-27 +23.8%
2026-01-15 Wells Fargo Overweight maintained $1331.60 $1450 reached 2026-01-27 +23.8%
2026-01-15 RBC Capital Outperform initiated $1331.60 $1550 replaced 2026-01-29, new $1625 +23.8%
2026-01-14 JPMorgan Overweight maintained $1263.72 $1518 reached 2026-02-25 +16.2%
2026-01-05 Bernstein Market Perform → Outperform upgrade $1228.19 $1528 replaced 2026-01-22, new $1642 +11.7%
2025-12-03 Bank of America Buy maintained $1140.92 $1331 reached 2026-01-15 +7.0%
2025-12-01 JPMorgan Overweight maintained $1087.99 $1275 reached 2026-01-12 +2.7%
2025-11-19 Freedom Broker Hold maintained $1039.33 $950 running to 2026-11-19 —

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How calls are checked

Every call is checked on the firm's own terms. A price target is followed until its own deadline (12 months unless the firm publishes a different horizon) and ends as reached (the stock closed at or beyond it while it stood), replaced (the same firm set a new target first) or short at deadline. A rating is compared with the stock's sector SPDR ETF on total return over the rating's life, because most big-firm ratings are relative: Overweight means "beat its peers", not "go up". Hold-type ratings are tracked, not graded. A firm is numbered only with 30+ resolved targets, and a letter prints only for a firm's whole record where an exact test separates it from a coin flip. None of this is a verdict on anyone's skill, and one day is never a grade. The full method →

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