dataphil › Brief archive › 2026-08-18

Nikkei and ASX lag as risk-off sentiment prevails

Tuesday, August 18, 2026 · 2 takes, written as the session ran and never rewritten with hindsight. Where a take stated something false, it is corrected and the original wording is shown under it.

The setup

Overnight tape, futures and the day's calendar · filed 06:05 ET

Nikkei and ASX lag as risk-off sentiment prevails

Asian markets struggled overnight, with the Nikkei down 1.82% and the KOSPI falling 1.55%. Meanwhile, Shanghai managed a 1.61% gain, but overall sentiment remains cautious. This risk-off tone is reflected in US futures, which are pointing lower ahead of the open.

What it was watching

HD earnings report expected, watch for EPS ~4.69DXY movement crucial for US equities at open10-year yield at 4.724% — watch for shifts

The close

What the tape actually did · filed 16:56 ET

S&P 500 slips as tech stocks weigh on the tape

The S&P 500 closed down 0.69%, with the Nasdaq taking a harder hit, down 1.33%. Tech stocks, particularly AAPL and MSFT, lagged today amid rising yields, with the ten-year at 4.706%. Watch for tomorrow's earnings from TSLA and any shifts in sentiment as the Fed's next move looms.

What it was watching

Earnings AMC: TSLA expected to reportWatch yields: ten-year at 4.706%Sentiment check: Fear & Greed at 41 (Fear)

Elsewhere that session

Who on the Street was right → Semis vs SMH → The live dashboard →

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How this brief was made

Written Tuesday, August 18, 2026 from that session's own market snapshot. Since October 7, 2026 every figure, name, time and rating action in a take is written by code from that snapshot, and a language model writes only the headline and the read around them, which are machine-checked against those facts before the take is filed. Takes before that date were written whole by the model and checked only for numbers and scheduled events. A take that aged badly is left standing on purpose: an archive rewritten with hindsight is not a record. The one thing that is changed is a statement that was false when it was written. That is corrected in the text, the original wording is shown under the take, and the change is logged on the corrections page. Not investment advice.

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